1. Standard Liège vs Sporting Charleroi

Standard Liège vs Sporting Charleroi 0-1 Score & Prediction Review

Pro League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 8)

Fair result
Standard LiègeStandard Liège

0–1

Sporting CharleroiSporting Charleroi
1.0Chances (xG)0.7

On these chances Standard Liège would usually take 1.6 points and Sporting Charleroi 1.1; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Sporting Charleroi.

Standard Liège −1.6 pts vs chancesSporting Charleroi +1.9 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Standard Liège vs Sporting Charleroi stats: how the match was played

Pro League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Sporting Charleroi had more than twice the shots on target

Standard Liège

Sporting Charleroi

2

Shots on target

4

1

Big chances

1

6

Corners

8

1

Yellow cards

1

1

Red cards

0

45%

Possession

55%

The match between Standard Liège and Sporting Charleroi ended 0-1. Our AI model correctly predicted an Sporting Charleroi win with 46% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Genk – Standard Liège prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

Standard Liège vs Sporting Charleroi — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Pro League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sporting Charleroi to win

Correct
Our model 46%Bookmakers 38%

Our track record

In 3,508 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 54%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 6,495 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 52%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 5,183 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 71%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 4,583 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 45%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 4,241 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

Standard Liège Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Standard Liège 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 69%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 2,708 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Sporting Charleroi Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sporting Charleroi 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 55%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 1,011 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.2%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Standard Liège vs Sporting Charleroi 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Standard Liège vs Sporting Charleroi. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Standard LiègeStandard Liège0
Sporting CharleroiSporting Charleroi1

Winner

X2 72%

BTTS*

Yes 54%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 61%

Full Time

128%
X26%
246%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT24%76%48%52%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT61%39%84%16%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Standard Liège36%64%69%31%
Sporting Charleroi23%77%55%45%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Standard Liège89%11%97%3%
Sporting Charleroi80%20%93%7%

1st Half

122%
X45%
233%

1st Score

137%
X7%
256%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

28%

X-X

18%

X-2

16%

1-1

14%

X-1

10%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

11.8%

0-1

10.2%

1-2

9.4%

0-2

7.8%

1-0

7.2%

0-0

7.1%

2-1

6.9%

2-2

5.7%

1-3

4.6%

2-0

4.2%

0-3

4.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Standard Liège vs Sporting Charleroi — Recent Form

Sporting Charleroi have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 3rd in the table. Standard Liège have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 9th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Sporting CharleroiSporting Charleroi
W
W
W
L
W
Standard LiègeStandard Liège
L
L
L
W
W

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Standard LiègeStandard Liège
3/5
Sporting CharleroiSporting Charleroi
4/5

Both Teams to Score

Standard LiègeStandard Liège
3/5
Sporting CharleroiSporting Charleroi
3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Standard LiègeStandard Liège
3/5
Sporting CharleroiSporting Charleroi
3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Standard LiègeStandard Liège
4/5
Sporting CharleroiSporting Charleroi
2/5

First Half Result

Standard LiègeStandard Liège
3/5
Sporting CharleroiSporting Charleroi
4/5

Correct Score

Standard LiègeStandard Liège
0/5
Sporting CharleroiSporting Charleroi
0/5
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches
correct predictionwrong prediction
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Genk – Standard Liège prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

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