1. Al Riyadh vs Al Taawoun

Al Riyadh vs Al Taawoun Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Pro League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 11)

Unlucky

Al Taawoun are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring

−8points fewer than their chances usually bring in their last 10

83% of teams this far behind their chances got more points in their next 10 games.

Bookmakers: Al Taawoun 43% to winAl Riyadh 30%

Al Riyadh vs Al Taawoun score prediction

Pro League

The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.

Evenly matched in front of goal

2.8 goals in total, a little under the Pro League average of 2.9.

goals expected

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.

Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.

How we measure →
Get our AI football prediction and stats for Al Riyadh vs Al Taawoun: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

Al Riyadh vs Al Taawoun — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Pro League

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Taawoun to win

Our model 49%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 3,488 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.6% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Our model 52%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 6,472 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Our model 51%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 2,842 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Our model 73%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 4,561 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Our model 46%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 4,246 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.0% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Al Riyadh Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Riyadh 0–1 goals

Our model 74%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 1,584 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.9% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Al Taawoun Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Taawoun 0–1 goals

Our model 54%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 1,015 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.3%).

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

Al Riyadh vs Al Taawoun — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Al Riyadh vs Al Taawoun. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

Al RiyadhAl Riyadh–
Al TaawounAl Taawoun–

Winner

X2 75%

BTTS*

Yes 52%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 63%

Full Time

125%
X26%
249%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT26%74%51%49%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT63%37%85%15%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Al Riyadh40%60%74%26%
Al Taawoun23%77%54%46%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Al Riyadh92%8%98%2%
Al Taawoun80%20%92%8%

1st Half

120%
X46%
234%

1st Score

136%
X8%
256%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

26%

X-2

19%

X-X

17%

1-1

13%

X-1

9%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

12.2%

0-1

10.9%

1-2

9.7%

0-2

9.0%

0-0

7.7%

1-0

7.5%

2-1

6.3%

2-2

5.3%

1-3

4.8%

0-3

4.5%

2-0

4.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Al Riyadh vs Al Taawoun: the stats that stand out

Pro League

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

Al Taawoun: shot-shy and slow starters · Al Riyadh: brick wall

Shot-shy
Al Taawoun7/10

Al Taawoun failed to score in 7 of their last 10 (league 25%).

Slow starters
Al Taawoun1/10

Al Taawoun scored first in only 1 of their last 10 (league 47%).

Brick wall
Al Riyadh4/10

Al Riyadh kept 4 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 25%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

Al Riyadh vs Al Taawoun: attack vs defence

Pro League

Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

other Pro League teamsleague averagelast 10 games

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

  • Al RiyadhAl Riyadh: weak attack, weak defence (1.10 xG, 1.86 xGA a game)
  • Al TaawounAl Taawoun: weak attack, weak defence (1.31 xG, 1.48 xGA)

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

Al Riyadh vs Al Taawoun form and luck check

Pro League

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Pro League games

Al Taawoun are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring

  • Al Riyadh
    Al RiyadhBookmakers: 30% to win today.
    +3.0
  • Al Taawoun
    Al TaawounBookmakers: 43% to win today.Wasteful · −9 goals
    −7.9

Last 5 matches

Al RiyadhAl Riyadh
L
D
W
D
L
13th in table
Al TaawounAl Taawoun
L
D
L
L
L
17th in table
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

Strength rank: Al Riyadh 17th of 18 · Al Taawoun 10th of 18

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

Strength rank: we rank this season's 18 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.

How we measure →

Al Riyadh vs Al Taawoun: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

Pro League

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Pro League gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Both teams score in Al Riyadh and Al Taawoun games less often than the Pro League average (56%).

Over 2.5 goalsleague 55%
Al Riyadh4 of 10
Al Taawoun4 of 10
BTTSleague 56%
Al Riyadh3 of 10
Al Taawoun3 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 348 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Al Riyadh vs Al Taawoun corners, cards and goal times

Pro League

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePro · free for now

Goal times close to the Pro League average

Al Riyadh

Al Taawoun

4.8

Corners won · league 5.0

5.8

6.0

Corners conceded · league 5.0

5.2

2.3

Cards · league 2.0

1.4

1.3

Opponents' cards · league 2.0

2.1

40%

Goals before half-time · league 46%

25%

20%

Goals after 75' · league 24%

25%

56%

Conceded before half-time · league 46%

59%

28%

Conceded after 75' · league 24%

12%

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Al TaawounAl Taawoun
2/5
Al RiyadhAl Riyadh
2/5

Both Teams to Score

Al TaawounAl Taawoun
1/5
Al RiyadhAl Riyadh
1/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Al TaawounAl Taawoun
2/5
Al RiyadhAl Riyadh
2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Al TaawounAl Taawoun
4/5
Al RiyadhAl Riyadh
4/5

First Half Result

Al TaawounAl Taawoun
2/5
Al RiyadhAl Riyadh
4/5

Correct Score

Al TaawounAl Taawoun
1/5
Al RiyadhAl Riyadh
1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction

Recommended Partners

Live Football Scores