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Abha vs Al Hazm 1-2 Score & Prediction Review

Pro League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 1)

Fair result
AbhaAbha

1–2

Al HazmAl Hazm
1.1Chances (xG)0.9

On these chances Abha would usually take 1.5 points and Al Hazm 1.2; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Al Hazm.

Abha −1.5 pts vs chancesAl Hazm +1.8 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Abha vs Al Hazm stats: how the match was played

Pro League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Abha had more than twice the shots on target

Abha

Al Hazm

6

Shots on target

3

0

Big chances

3

5

Corners

1

2

Yellow cards

3

63%

Possession

37%

The match between Abha and Al Hazm ended 1-2. Our AI model predicted a Abha win at 68% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Abha – Al Kholood prediction & betting tips (Oct 19, 2026).

Abha vs Al Hazm — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Pro League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Abha to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Al Hazm to win.

Our model 69%Bookmakers 34%

Our track record

Too few similar matches in the last 12 months for a track record.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 51%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Under 2.5 goals.

Our model 60%Bookmakers 47%

Our track record

In 105 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.2% than to our 60–65%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 63%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Abha ahead at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Draw at half-time.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 28%

Our track record

Too few similar matches in the last 12 months for a track record.

Abha Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Abha 2+ goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Abha 0–1 goals.

Our model 64%Bookmakers 37%

Our track record

In 389 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.8% than to our 60–65%.

Al Hazm Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Hazm 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 83%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 1,503 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 78.8% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Abha vs Al Hazm 1-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Abha vs Al Hazm. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Pro League - Saudi Arabia
AbhaAbha1
Al HazmAl Hazm2

Winner

1 68%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

2-0 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 53%

Full Time

168%
X18%
213%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT19%81%40%60%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT53%47%75%25%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Abha12%88%36%64%
Al Hazm54%46%83%17%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Abha61%39%81%19%
Al Hazm95%5%99%1%

1st Half

151%
X34%
215%

1st Score

169%
X5%
226%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

46%

X-1

18%

X-X

11%

2-2

7%

X-2

5%

1-X

4%

2-1

4%

2-X

3%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

2-0

10.9%

1-0

10.5%

2-1

9.6%

3-0

8.5%

1-1

8.3%

3-1

7.3%

0-0

4.8%

2-2

4.1%

0-1

4.0%

1-2

3.8%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Abha – Al Kholood prediction & betting tips (Oct 19, 2026).

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