1. Al Shabab vs Al-Qadsiah

Al Shabab vs Al Quadisiya 1-3 Score & Prediction Review

Pro League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 1)

Fair result
Al ShababAl Shabab

1–3

Al QuadisiyaAl Quadisiya
1.0Chances (xG)1.9

On these chances Al Shabab would usually take 0.8 points and Al Quadisiya 2.0; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Al Quadisiya.

Al Shabab −0.8 pts vs chancesAl Quadisiya +1.1 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Al Shabab vs Al Quadisiya stats: how the match was played

Pro League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Al Quadisiya had more than twice the shots on target

Al Shabab

Al Quadisiya

3

Shots on target

6

3

Big chances

6

6

Corners

9

2

Yellow cards

1

45%

Possession

55%

The match between Al Shabab and Al Quadisiya ended 1-3. Our AI model correctly predicted an Al Quadisiya win with 47% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Al Shabab – Al Faisaly prediction & betting tips (Oct 19, 2026).

Al Shabab vs Al Quadisiya — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Pro League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Quadisiya to win

Correct
Our model 47%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 3,511 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.2% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 64%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 2,490 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 66%Bookmakers 65%

Our track record

In 1,157 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 67.9% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 55%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 938 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.1% of the time (bookmakers said 60.1%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Quadisiya ahead at half-time

Wrong
Our model 38%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 2,047 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.2% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).

Al Shabab Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Shabab 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 61%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 3,467 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.8% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).

Al Quadisiya Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Quadisiya 2+ goals

Correct
Our model 53%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 1,011 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.2%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Al Shabab vs Al Quadisiya 1-3 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Al Shabab vs Al Quadisiya. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Al ShababAl Shabab1
Al QuadisiyaAl Quadisiya3

Winner

X2 70%

BTTS*

Yes 63%

Correct Score

1-1 09%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 66%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 55%

Full Time

130%
X23%
247%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT15%85%34%66%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT45%55%71%29%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Al Shabab33%67%61%39%
Al Quadisiya21%79%47%53%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Al Shabab82%18%94%6%
Al Quadisiya71%29%86%14%

1st Half

127%
X35%
238%

1st Score

142%
X4%
254%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

29%

1-1

18%

X-2

14%

X-X

13%

X-1

9%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

4%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

9.2%

1-2

8.7%

2-1

7.0%

2-2

6.8%

0-1

6.0%

0-2

5.7%

1-3

5.2%

1-0

4.9%

0-0

4.3%

0-3

4.0%

2-3

4.0%

3-1

3.7%

2-0

3.5%

3-2

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Al Shabab – Al Faisaly prediction & betting tips (Oct 19, 2026).

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