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Al Faisaly vs Al Fateh 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

Pro League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 3)

Fair result
Al FaisalyAl Faisaly

1–1

Al FatehAl Fateh
1.3Chances (xG)1.9

On these chances Al Faisaly would usually take 1.0 points and Al Fateh 1.8; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Al Fateh.

Al Faisaly 0.0 pts vs chancesAl Fateh −0.8 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Al Faisaly vs Al Fateh stats: how the match was played

Pro League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Al Fateh had clearly more shots on target

Al Faisaly

Al Fateh

4

Shots on target

7

2

Big chances

4

2

Corners

4

3

Yellow cards

2

1

Red cards

0

46%

Possession

54%

The match between Al Faisaly and Al Fateh ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted a Al Faisaly win at 48% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Al Fateh – Al Khaleej prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Al Faisaly vs Al Fateh — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Pro League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Faisaly to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Al Fateh to win.

Our model 48%Bookmakers 35%

Our track record

In 380 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 27.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.8% than to our 45–50%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 56%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 56%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 68%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,986 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 41%Bookmakers 39%

Our track record

In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Al Faisaly Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Faisaly 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 51%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 2,827 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).

Al Fateh Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Fateh 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 70%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 3,280 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Al Faisaly vs Al Fateh 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Al Faisaly vs Al Fateh. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Pro League - Saudi Arabia
Al FaisalyAl Faisaly1
Al FatehAl Fateh1

Winner

1X 73%

BTTS*

Yes 56%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 58%

Full Time

148%
X25%
227%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT22%78%44%56%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT58%42%81%19%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Al Faisaly22%78%51%49%
Al Fateh37%63%69%31%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Al Faisaly77%23%90%10%
Al Fateh89%11%96%4%

1st Half

135%
X40%
225%

1st Score

151%
X7%
242%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

29%

X-X

17%

X-1

16%

2-2

16%

X-2

9%

2-X

5%

1-X

4%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

11.0%

2-1

10.0%

1-0

8.8%

2-0

7.4%

1-2

7.2%

0-0

6.9%

0-1

6.3%

2-2

5.7%

3-1

4.9%

3-0

4.8%

0-2

3.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Al Fateh – Al Khaleej prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

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