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Al Khaleej vs Al Hilal 1-5 Score & Prediction Review

Pro League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 4)

Fair result
Al KhaleejAl Khaleej

1–5

Al HilalAl Hilal
1.2Chances (xG)2.6

On these chances Al Khaleej would usually take 0.6 points and Al Hilal 2.2; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Al Hilal.

Al Khaleej −0.6 pts vs chancesAl Hilal +0.8 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Al Khaleej vs Al Hilal stats: how the match was played

Pro League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Al Hilal had clearly more shots on target

Al Khaleej

Al Hilal

4

Shots on target

7

3

Big chances

7

3

Corners

2

1

Yellow cards

1

46%

Possession

54%

The match between Al Khaleej and Al Hilal ended 1-5. Our AI model correctly predicted an Al Hilal win with 82% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Al Fateh – Al Khaleej prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Al Khaleej vs Al Hilal — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Pro League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Hilal to win

Correct
Our model 82%Bookmakers 73%

Our track record

In 67 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 83.6% of the time (bookmakers said 82.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong
Our model 54%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 67%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 1,157 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 54%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 286 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Hilal ahead at half-time

Correct
Our model 62%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 112 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.6% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).

Al Khaleej Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Khaleej 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 90%Bookmakers 85%

Our track record

In 124 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 85–90% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 86.3% of the time (bookmakers said 84.9%).

Al Hilal Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Hilal 2+ goals

Correct
Our model 77%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 2,600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Al Khaleej vs Al Hilal 1-5 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Al Khaleej vs Al Hilal. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Pro League - Saudi Arabia
Al KhaleejAl Khaleej1
Al HilalAl Hilal5

Winner

2 82%

BTTS*

No 54%

Correct Score

0-2 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 67%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 56%

Full Time

16%
X12%
282%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT15%85%33%67%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT44%56%64%36%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Al Khaleej67%33%90%10%
Al Hilal7%93%23%77%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Al Khaleej98%2%100%0%
Al Hilal47%53%68%32%

1st Half

110%
X27%
262%

1st Score

119%
X3%
278%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

58%

X-2

19%

X-X

7%

1-1

4%

1-2

4%

1-X

3%

X-1

3%

2-X

3%

2-1

1%

Correct Score

0-2

12.0%

0-3

10.5%

0-1

9.1%

1-2

8.3%

1-3

7.2%

1-1

5.3%

0-0

3.5%

2-3

3.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Al Fateh – Al Khaleej prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

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