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Al Ettifaq vs Al Draih 0-3 Score & Prediction Review

Pro League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 4)

Fair result
Al EttifaqAl Ettifaq

0–3

Al DraihAl Draih
1.8Chances (xG)1.8

On these chances Al Ettifaq would usually take 1.4 points and Al Draih 1.4; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Al Draih.

Al Ettifaq −1.4 pts vs chancesAl Draih +1.6 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Al Ettifaq vs Al Draih stats: how the match was played

Pro League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Al Ettifaq

Al Draih

7

Shots on target

7

2

Big chances

4

6

Corners

6

1

Yellow cards

1

54%

Possession

46%

The match between Al Ettifaq and Al Draih ended 0-3. Our AI model correctly predicted an Al Draih win with 65% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Al Draih – Al Riyadh prediction & betting tips (Oct 20, 2026).

Al Ettifaq vs Al Draih — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Pro League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Draih to win

Correct
Our model 65%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 613 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 70.3% of the time (bookmakers said 70.8%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 58%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 5,722 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 63%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 3,118 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 58%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 938 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.1% of the time (bookmakers said 60.1%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Draih ahead at half-time

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Draw at half-time.

Our model 49%Bookmakers 35%

Our track record

In 530 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 38.9% than to our 45–50%.

Al Ettifaq Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Ettifaq 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 77%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 845 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.1% of the time (bookmakers said 76.5%).

Al Draih Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Draih 2+ goals

Correct
Our model 64%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 2,691 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.1% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Al Ettifaq vs Al Draih 0-3 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Al Ettifaq vs Al Draih. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Pro League - Saudi Arabia
Al EttifaqAl Ettifaq0
Al DraihAl Draih3

Winner

2 65%

BTTS*

Yes 58%

Correct Score

1-2 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 63%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 52%

Full Time

116%
X19%
265%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT17%83%37%63%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT48%52%72%28%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Al Ettifaq48%52%77%23%
Al Draih13%87%36%64%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Al Ettifaq93%7%98%2%
Al Draih62%38%81%19%

1st Half

118%
X33%
249%

1st Score

129%
X4%
267%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

42%

X-2

18%

X-X

11%

1-1

9%

X-1

6%

2-X

5%

1-X

4%

1-2

4%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-2

10.1%

0-2

9.5%

0-1

8.9%

1-1

8.4%

1-3

7.5%

0-3

6.3%

2-2

5.2%

2-3

4.3%

0-0

4.1%

2-1

4.0%

1-0

3.8%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Al Draih – Al Riyadh prediction & betting tips (Oct 20, 2026).

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