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Al Kholood vs Al Shabab 2-1 Score & Prediction Review

Pro League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 6)

Fair result
Al KholoodAl Kholood

2–1

Al ShababAl Shabab
1.4Chances (xG)0.7

On these chances Al Kholood would usually take 1.9 points and Al Shabab 0.9; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Al Shabab.

Al Kholood +1.1 pts vs chancesAl Shabab −0.9 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Al Kholood vs Al Shabab stats: how the match was played

Pro League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Al Kholood had clearly more shots on target

Al Kholood

Al Shabab

5

Shots on target

3

3

Big chances

1

5

Corners

5

3

Yellow cards

3

49%

Possession

51%

The match between Al Kholood and Al Shabab ended 2-1. Our AI model predicted an Al Shabab win at 51% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Abha – Al Kholood prediction & betting tips (Oct 19, 2026).

Al Kholood vs Al Shabab — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Pro League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Shabab to win

Wrong
Our model 51%Bookmakers 47%

Our track record

In 2,496 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 54%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 6,506 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 51%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 5,197 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 70%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 4,592 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 41%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 6,724 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Al Kholood Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Kholood 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 74%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 1,588 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Al Shabab Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Shabab 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 51%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 1,014 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 59.2%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Al Kholood vs Al Shabab 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Al Kholood vs Al Shabab. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Pro League - Saudi Arabia
Al KholoodAl Kholood2
Al ShababAl Shabab1

Winner

2 51%

BTTS*

Yes 54%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 60%

Full Time

124%
X26%
251%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT24%76%49%51%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT60%40%83%17%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Al Kholood40%60%74%26%
Al Shabab21%79%51%49%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Al Kholood91%9%98%2%
Al Shabab77%23%91%9%

1st Half

123%
X41%
236%

1st Score

137%
X7%
256%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

29%

X-2

17%

X-X

15%

1-1

14%

X-1

9%

1-X

6%

2-X

5%

1-2

4%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

11.8%

0-1

10.4%

1-2

9.4%

0-2

9.2%

0-0

7.2%

1-0

6.9%

2-1

5.8%

2-2

5.5%

1-3

5.3%

0-3

4.8%

2-0

3.6%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Abha – Al Kholood prediction & betting tips (Oct 19, 2026).

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