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Al Fateh vs Al Draih 1-2 Score & Prediction Review

Pro League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 6)

Fair result
Al FatehAl Fateh

1–2

Al DraihAl Draih
1.4Chances (xG)2.5

On these chances Al Fateh would usually take 0.8 points and Al Draih 2.1; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Al Draih.

Al Fateh −0.8 pts vs chancesAl Draih +0.9 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Al Fateh vs Al Draih stats: how the match was played

Pro League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Al Fateh

Al Draih

4

Shots on target

3

3

Big chances

3

5

Corners

4

3

Yellow cards

1

60%

Possession

40%

The match between Al Fateh and Al Draih ended 1-2. Our AI model correctly predicted an Al Draih win with 62% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Al Fateh – Al Khaleej prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Al Fateh vs Al Draih — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Pro League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Draih to win

Correct
Our model 62%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 1,062 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 67.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.4%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 56%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 62%Bookmakers 61%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 61%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Draih ahead at half-time

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Draw at half-time.

Our model 43%Bookmakers 39%

Our track record

In 2,232 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

Al Fateh Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Fateh 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 76%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 842 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.5%).

Al Draih Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Draih 2+ goals

Correct
Our model 61%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 2,695 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.1% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Al Fateh vs Al Draih 1-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Al Fateh vs Al Draih. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Pro League - Saudi Arabia
Al FatehAl Fateh1
Al DraihAl Draih2

Winner

2 62%

BTTS*

Yes 56%

Correct Score

1-2 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 62%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 51%

Full Time

117%
X20%
262%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT18%82%38%62%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT51%49%74%26%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Al Fateh46%54%76%24%
Al Draih14%86%39%61%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Al Fateh92%8%98%2%
Al Draih65%35%84%16%

1st Half

117%
X39%
243%

1st Score

130%
X5%
265%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

38%

X-2

20%

X-X

12%

1-1

9%

X-1

6%

2-X

5%

1-X

4%

1-2

4%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-2

10.2%

0-1

9.4%

1-1

9.0%

0-2

9.0%

1-3

6.8%

0-3

6.5%

2-2

5.2%

2-1

4.9%

0-0

4.8%

2-3

4.0%

1-0

3.9%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Al Fateh – Al Khaleej prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

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