1. Al Riyadh vs Al Kholood

Al Riyadh vs Al Kholood 2-0 Score & Prediction Review

Pro League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 7)

Fair result
Al RiyadhAl Riyadh

2–0

Al KholoodAl Kholood
1.2Chances (xG)1.1

On these chances Al Riyadh would usually take 1.4 points and Al Kholood 1.3; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Al Kholood.

Al Riyadh +1.6 pts vs chancesAl Kholood −1.3 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Al Riyadh vs Al Kholood stats: how the match was played

Pro League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Al Riyadh had clearly more shots on target

Al Riyadh

Al Kholood

5

Shots on target

3

2

Big chances

0

0

Corners

11

2

Yellow cards

2

41%

Possession

59%

The match between Al Riyadh and Al Kholood ended 2-0. Our AI model predicted an Al Kholood win at 46% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Abha – Al Kholood prediction & betting tips (Oct 19, 2026).

Al Riyadh vs Al Kholood — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Pro League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Kholood to win

Wrong
Our model 46%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 3,513 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: No, not both.

Our model 53%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 3,139 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 51%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 5,191 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 73%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 4,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 45%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Al Riyadh Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Riyadh 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 71%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 1,588 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Al Kholood Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Kholood 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 56%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 1,616 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Al Riyadh vs Al Kholood 2-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Al Riyadh vs Al Kholood. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Al RiyadhAl Riyadh2
Al KholoodAl Kholood0

Winner

X2 73%

BTTS*

Yes 53%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 63%

Full Time

127%
X28%
246%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT27%73%51%49%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT63%37%85%15%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Al Riyadh38%62%71%29%
Al Kholood24%76%56%44%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Al Riyadh90%10%97%3%
Al Kholood81%19%93%7%

1st Half

122%
X45%
233%

1st Score

138%
X8%
254%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

26%

X-X

17%

X-2

17%

1-1

15%

X-1

11%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

12.4%

0-1

10.6%

1-2

9.1%

0-0

8.2%

0-2

8.1%

1-0

7.7%

2-1

6.8%

2-2

5.5%

1-3

4.4%

2-0

4.3%

0-3

3.9%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Abha – Al Kholood prediction & betting tips (Oct 19, 2026).

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