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Al Nassr vs Al Diraiyah FC

Al Nassr vs Al Draih 3-0 Score & Prediction Review

Pro League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 8)

Fair result

Al Nassr

3–0

Al Draih

2.3Chances (xG)0.8

On these chances Al Nassr would usually take 2.3 points and Al Draih 0.6; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Al Nassr.

Al Nassr +0.7 pts vs chancesAl Draih −0.6 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Al Nassr vs Al Draih stats: how the match was played

Pro League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Al Nassr had more than twice the shots on target

Al Nassr

Al Draih

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

53%

Possession

47%

The match between Al Nassr and Al Draih ended 3-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Al Nassr win with 48% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Al Draih – Al Riyadh prediction & betting tips (Oct 20, 2026).

Al Nassr vs Al Draih — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Pro League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Nassr to win

Correct

Our model 48%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 3,514 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

Our model 59%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 5,733 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 59%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 5,338 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 64%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Nassr ahead at half-time

Correct

Our model 42%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 6,724 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Al Nassr Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Nassr 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Al Nassr 2+ goals.

Our model 50%Bookmakers 26%

Our track record

In 1,869 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.

Al Draih Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Draih 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 65%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 3,281 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Al Nassr vs Al Draih 3-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Al Nassr vs Al Draih. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Pro League - Saudi Arabia

Al Nassr3

Al Draih0

Winner

1X 72%

BTTS*

Yes 59%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 59%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 53%

· FT

Pro League - Saudi Arabia

Al Nassr3

Al Draih0

Winner

1X 72%

BTTS*

Yes 59%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 59%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 53%

Full Time

148%

X24%

228%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	19%	81%	41%	59%	53%	47%	78%	22%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	19%	81%	41%	59%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	53%	47%	78%	22%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	21%	79%	50%	50%	76%	24%	91%	9%
	33%	67%	65%	35%	86%	14%	95%	5%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	21%	79%	50%	50%
	33%	67%	65%	35%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	76%	24%	91%	9%
	86%	14%	95%	5%

1st Half

142%

X36%

222%

1st Score

164%

X5%

231%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

32%

2-2

16%

X-1

14%

X-X

13%

X-2

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-1

10.9%

2-1

9.9%

1-0

8.6%

1-2

6.9%

2-0

6.8%

2-2

6.1%

0-1

5.9%

3-1

5.3%

0-0

5.0%

3-2

4.0%

0-2

3.9%

3-0

3.8%

1-3

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Al Nassr vs Al Draih — Recent Form

Al Nassr have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 3rd in the table. Al Draih have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 8th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Al Nassr

Al Draih

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Al Nassr

3/5

Al Draih

3/5

Both Teams to Score

Al Nassr

4/5

Al Draih

2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Al Nassr

4/5

Al Draih

2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Al Nassr

4/5

Al Draih

5/5

First Half Result

Al Nassr

2/5

Al Draih

4/5

Correct Score

Al Nassr

2/5

Al Draih

2/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Al Draih – Al Riyadh prediction & betting tips (Oct 20, 2026).