Home
Leagues
Pro League
Al Diraiyah FC vs Al Riyadh

Al Draih vs Al Riyadh 1-0 Score & Prediction Review

Pro League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 10)

Fair result

Al Draih

1–0

Al Riyadh

2.1Chances (xG)1.6

On these chances Al Draih would usually take 1.7 points and Al Riyadh 1.1; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Al Draih.

Al Draih +1.3 pts vs chancesAl Riyadh −1.1 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Al Draih vs Al Riyadh stats: how the match was played

Pro League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Al Draih had more than twice the shots on target

Al Draih

Al Riyadh

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

44%

Possession

56%

The match between Al Draih and Al Riyadh ended 1-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Al Draih win with 57% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Al Riyadh – Al Quadisiya prediction & betting tips (Oct 29, 2026).

Al Draih vs Al Riyadh — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Pro League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Draih to win

Correct

Our model 57%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 1,800 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.4% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

Our model 56%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 5,711 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 58%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 5,302 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.6% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 65%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 2,408 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.7% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Draih ahead at half-time

Correct

Our model 42%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 6,634 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.4% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).

Al Draih Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Draih 2+ goals

Wrong

Our model 56%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 3,471 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).

Al Riyadh Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Riyadh 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 75%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 3,370 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Al Draih vs Al Riyadh 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Al Draih vs Al Riyadh. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Pro League - Saudi Arabia

Al Draih1

Al Riyadh0

Winner

1 57%

BTTS*

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 55%

· FT

Pro League - Saudi Arabia

Al Draih1

Al Riyadh0

Winner

1 57%

BTTS*

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 55%

Full Time

157%

X23%

220%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	20%	80%	42%	58%	55%	45%	78%	22%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	20%	80%	42%	58%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	55%	45%	78%	22%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	16%	84%	44%	56%	70%	30%	87%	13%
	43%	57%	75%	25%	92%	8%	98%	2%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	16%	84%	44%	56%
	43%	57%	75%	25%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	70%	30%	87%	13%
	92%	8%	98%	2%

1st Half

142%

X38%

220%

1st Score

161%

X6%

233%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

36%

X-1

18%

X-X

12%

2-2

10%

X-2

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-1

10.6%

2-1

10.0%

1-0

9.7%

2-0

8.9%

3-0

6.2%

3-1

6.1%

0-0

5.5%

1-2

5.5%

2-2

5.4%

0-1

4.8%

3-2

3.4%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Al Draih vs Al Riyadh — Recent Form

Al Riyadh have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 11th in the table. Al Draih have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 8th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Al Riyadh

Al Draih

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Al Riyadh

1/5

Al Draih

3/5

Both Teams to Score

Al Riyadh

2/5

Al Draih

1/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Al Riyadh

1/5

Al Draih

1/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Al Riyadh

5/5

Al Draih

5/5

First Half Result

Al Riyadh

3/5

Al Draih

5/5

Correct Score

Al Riyadh

1/5

Al Draih

1/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Al Riyadh – Al Quadisiya prediction & betting tips (Oct 29, 2026).