1. Mirassol vs Atlético Mineiro

Mirassol vs Atlético Mineiro Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Serie A - Season 2026 (Round 35)

Banker as favourites

Atlético Mineiro won 5 of 6 as favourites (league 54%).

5/6Wins as favourite · Atlético Mineiro

Mirassol vs Atlético Mineiro score prediction

Serie A

The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.

Evenly matched in front of goal

2.6 goals in total, a little under the Serie A average of 2.7.

goals expected

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.

Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.

How we measure →
The match Mirassol vs Atlético Mineiro will be played on Saturday, November 14 as part of the 2026 season. This fixture will be played in the Round 35 of the Serie A, played in Brazil. On this page, you’ll find our detailed football prediction for Mirassol vs Atlético Mineiro, including full-time result (1X2) probabilities, draw chances, and additional betting insights. Our predictions are generated using data-driven models that analyze team form, recent performances, and historical trends to deliver reliable match forecasts.

Mirassol vs Atlético Mineiro — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Mirassol vs Atlético Mineiro. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

MirassolMirassol–
Atlético MineiroAtlético Mineiro–

Winner

1 57%

BTTS*

No 52%

Correct Score

1-0 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 65%

Full Time

157%
X25%
219%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT29%71%53%47%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT65%35%86%14%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Mirassol19%81%51%49%
Atlético Mineiro47%53%80%20%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Mirassol77%23%92%8%
Atlético Mineiro95%5%99%1%

1st Half

139%
X45%
217%

1st Score

164%
X8%
228%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

33%

X-1

20%

X-X

16%

X-2

8%

2-2

8%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-0

13.8%

1-1

11.4%

2-0

10.7%

2-1

10.4%

0-0

8.3%

0-1

6.6%

3-0

5.8%

3-1

5.2%

1-2

5.1%

2-2

4.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Mirassol vs Atlético Mineiro: the stats that stand out

Serie A

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

Atlético Mineiro: banker as favourites

Banker as favourites
Atlético Mineiro5/6

Atlético Mineiro won 5 of 6 as favourites (league 54%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

Mirassol vs Atlético Mineiro: attack vs defence

Serie A

Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

other Serie A teamsleague averagelast 10 games

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

  • MirassolMirassol: weak attack, weak defence (1.42 xG, 1.82 xGA a game)
  • Atlético MineiroAtlético Mineiro: good attack, weak defence (1.64 xG, 1.78 xGA)

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

Mirassol vs Atlético Mineiro form and luck check

Serie A

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Serie A games

Both results in line with their chances

  • Mirassol
    Mirassol
    +1.7
  • Atlético Mineiro
    Atlético Mineiro
    +3.4

Last 5 matches

Atlético MineiroAtlético Mineiro
L
L
W
W
D
7th in table
MirassolMirassol
L
D
W
L
D
16th in table
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

Strength rank: Mirassol 15th of 20 · Atlético Mineiro 10th of 20

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

Strength rank: we rank this season's 20 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.

How we measure →

Mirassol vs Atlético Mineiro: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

Serie A

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Serie A gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Mirassol and Atlético Mineiro games both go over 2.5 goals less often than the Serie A average (52%).

Over 2.5 goalsleague 52%
Mirassol2 of 10
Atlético Mineiro5 of 10
BTTSleague 56%
Mirassol5 of 10
Atlético Mineiro6 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 411 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Mirassol vs Atlético Mineiro corners, cards and goal times

Serie A

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePro
  • Corners won: league 5.2
  • Cards: league 2.4
  • Goals before half-time: league 44%
  • Goals after 75': league 23%

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Atlético MineiroAtlético Mineiro
3/5
MirassolMirassol
3/5

Both Teams to Score

Atlético MineiroAtlético Mineiro
2/5
MirassolMirassol
3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Atlético MineiroAtlético Mineiro
0/5
MirassolMirassol
5/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Atlético MineiroAtlético Mineiro
3/5
MirassolMirassol
5/5

First Half Result

Atlético MineiroAtlético Mineiro
3/5
MirassolMirassol
5/5

Correct Score

Atlético MineiroAtlético Mineiro
1/5
MirassolMirassol
1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction

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