Bahia vs Chapecoense Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Serie A - Season 2026 (Round 4)

Get our AI football prediction and stats for Bahia vs Chapecoense. Our model tracks per-team football prediction accuracy across 1X2, BTTS, Over/Under and Correct Score markets — see how it performs for both teams below.

Bahia vs Chapecoense — Serie A Prediction Accuracy

Season 2026 · Round 4 · Regular Season

Full-Time Result

BahiaBahia
23.5%(4/17)

-51.3% Below implied probability

ChapecoenseChapecoense
47.1%(8/17)

-2.5% Near implied probability

48.3% Implied Probability

Both Teams To Score

BahiaBahia
64.7%(11/17)

+18.3% Strongly above implied probability

ChapecoenseChapecoense
70.6%(12/17)

+29.1% Strongly above implied probability

54.7% Implied Probability

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

BahiaBahia
41.2%(7/17)

-24.5% Below implied probability

ChapecoenseChapecoense
58.8%(10/17)

+7.7% Above implied probability

54.6% Implied Probability

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

BahiaBahia
76.5%(13/17)

+27.1% Strongly above implied probability

ChapecoenseChapecoense
70.6%(12/17)

+17.3% Strongly above implied probability

60.2% Implied Probability

First Half Result

BahiaBahia
35.3%(6/17)

-9.9% Near implied probability

ChapecoenseChapecoense
64.7%(11/17)

+65.1% Strongly above implied probability

39.2% Implied Probability

Correct Score

BahiaBahia
5.9%(1/17)
ChapecoenseChapecoense
17.6%(3/17)

Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Bahia and Chapecoense across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.

First Half Result predictions for Chapecoense hit at 65% accuracy — that's 65.1% above the bookmaker baseline of 39.2%, suggesting genuine betting value.

On the other hand, Full-Time Result predictions for Bahia sit 51.3% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.

Bahia vs Chapecoense — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Bahia vs Chapecoense. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

BahiaBahia
ChapecoenseChapecoense

Winner

1 66%

BTTS**

No 55%

Correct Score

1-0 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 62%

Full Time

166%
X21%
212%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT27%73%51%49%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT62%38%82%18%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Bahia15%85%43%57%
Chapecoense55%45%86%14%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Bahia70%30%87%13%
Chapecoense97%3%99%1%

1st Half

147%
X39%
214%

1st Score

169%
X8%
223%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

42%

X-1

21%

X-X

14%

2-2

6%

1-X

4%

X-2

4%

2-X

4%

2-1

3%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

1-0

14.1%

2-0

12.5%

2-1

10.3%

1-1

9.8%

0-0

7.6%

3-0

7.6%

3-1

6.0%

0-1

5.0%

2-2

3.5%

1-2

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Bahia vs Chapecoense — Prediction Form & Streaks

Bahia have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 6th in the table. Chapecoense have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 20th in the table.

Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Bahia well in the Both Teams To Score market, landing 5 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.

Full-Time Result

Correct Streak
BahiaBahia
1 in a row
ChapecoenseChapecoense
2 in a row

Both Teams To Score

Correct Streak
BahiaBahia
5 in a row
ChapecoenseChapecoense
1 in a row

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Correct Streak
BahiaBahia
1 in a row
ChapecoenseChapecoense
1 in a row

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Correct Streak
BahiaBahia
1 in a row
ChapecoenseChapecoense
2 in a row

First Half Result

Correct Streak
BahiaBahia
0 in a row
ChapecoenseChapecoense
0 in a row

Correct Score

Correct Streak
BahiaBahia
0 in a row
ChapecoenseChapecoense
1 in a row

Bahia & Chapecoense Teams in Best Form

BahiaBahia
W
L
D
L
D
ChapecoenseChapecoense
L
L
L
D
L

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