Bahia vs Chapecoense 2-0 Score & Prediction Review

Serie A - Season 2026 (Round 4)

The match between Bahia and Chapecoense ended 2-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Bahia win with 66% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Coritiba – Chapecoense prediction & betting tips (Aug 8, 2026).

Bahia vs Chapecoense — Serie A Prediction Accuracy

Season 2026 · Round 4 · Regular Season

Full-Time Result

45.9% implied

Bahia23.8%5/21-48.1%Below implied probability
Chapecoense50%10/20+8.9%Above implied probability

Both Teams To Score

54.6% implied

Bahia66.7%14/21+22.2%Strongly above implied probability
Chapecoense70%14/20+28.2%Strongly above implied probability

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

54.5% implied

Bahia42.9%9/21-21.3%Below implied probability
Chapecoense55%11/20+0.9%Above implied probability

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

60.6% implied

Bahia81%17/21+33.7%Strongly above implied probability
Chapecoense65%13/20+7.3%Above implied probability

First Half Result

38.8% implied

Bahia38.1%8/21-1.8%Near implied probability
Chapecoense60%12/20+54.6%Strongly above implied probability
Bahia9.5%2/21
Chapecoense15%3/20

Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Bahia and Chapecoense across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.

First Half Result predictions for Chapecoense hit at 60% accuracy — that's 54.6% above the bookmaker baseline of 38.8%, suggesting genuine betting value.

On the other hand, Full-Time Result predictions for Bahia sit 48.1% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.

Bahia vs Chapecoense 2-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Bahia vs Chapecoense. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
BahiaBahia2
ChapecoenseChapecoense0

Winner

1 66%

BTTS**

No 55%

Correct Score

1-0 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 62%

Full Time

166%
X21%
212%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT27%73%51%49%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT62%38%82%18%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Bahia15%85%43%57%
Chapecoense55%45%86%14%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Bahia70%30%87%13%
Chapecoense97%3%99%1%

1st Half

147%
X39%
214%

1st Score

169%
X8%
223%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

42%

X-1

21%

X-X

14%

2-2

6%

1-X

4%

X-2

4%

2-X

4%

2-1

3%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

1-0

14.1%

2-0

12.5%

2-1

10.3%

1-1

9.8%

0-0

7.6%

3-0

7.6%

3-1

6.0%

0-1

5.0%

2-2

3.5%

1-2

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Bahia vs Chapecoense — Prediction Form & Streaks

Bahia have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 5th in the table. Chapecoense have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 20th in the table.

Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Bahia well in the Over/Under 3.5 Goals market, landing 5 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.

Full-Time ResultCorrect Streak
BahiaBahia
0 in a row
ChapecoenseChapecoense
0 in a row
Both Teams To ScoreCorrect Streak
BahiaBahia
0 in a row
ChapecoenseChapecoense
0 in a row
Over/Under 2.5 GoalsCorrect Streak
BahiaBahia
0 in a row
ChapecoenseChapecoense
0 in a row
Over/Under 3.5 GoalsCorrect Streak
BahiaBahia
5 in a row
ChapecoenseChapecoense
0 in a row
First Half ResultCorrect Streak
BahiaBahia
0 in a row
ChapecoenseChapecoense
0 in a row
Correct ScoreCorrect Streak
BahiaBahia
0 in a row
ChapecoenseChapecoense
0 in a row

Bahia & Chapecoense Teams in Best Form

BahiaBahia
D
D
D
W
W
ChapecoenseChapecoense
D
L
L
L
L
correct predictionincorrect
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

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