Vitória vs Vasco da Gama 1-0 Score & Prediction Review

Serie A - Season 2026 (Round 19)

The match between Vitória and Vasco da Gama ended 1-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Vitória win with 48% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Bahia – Vasco da Gama prediction & betting tips (Aug 9, 2026).

Vitória vs Vasco da Gama — Serie A Prediction Accuracy

Season 2026 · Round 19 · Regular Season

Full-Time Result

45.9% implied

Vasco da Gama45%9/20-2%Near implied probability
Vitória76.2%16/21+66%Strongly above implied probability

Both Teams To Score

54.6% implied

Vasco da Gama40%8/20-26.7%Below implied probability
Vitória42.9%9/21-21.4%Below implied probability

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

54.5% implied

Vasco da Gama45%9/20-17.4%Below implied probability
Vitória57.1%12/21+4.8%Above implied probability

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

60.6% implied

Vasco da Gama80%16/20+32%Strongly above implied probability
Vitória71.4%15/21+17.8%Strongly above implied probability

First Half Result

38.8% implied

Vasco da Gama35%7/20-9.8%Near implied probability
Vitória33.3%7/21-14.2%Below implied probability
Vasco da Gama20%4/20
Vitória4.8%1/21

Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Vitória and Vasco da Gama across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.

Full-Time Result predictions for Vitória hit at 76% accuracy — that's 66% above the bookmaker baseline of 45.9%, suggesting genuine betting value.

On the other hand, Both Teams To Score predictions for Vasco da Gama sit 26.7% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.

Vitória vs Vasco da Gama 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Vitória vs Vasco da Gama. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
VitóriaVitória1
Vasco da GamaVasco da Gama0

Winner

1X 74%

BTTS**

Yes 52%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 65%

Full Time

148%
X26%
226%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT27%73%52%48%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT65%35%87%13%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Vitória23%77%56%44%
Vasco da Gama39%61%74%26%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Vitória82%18%94%6%
Vasco da Gama91%9%98%2%

1st Half

131%
X46%
223%

1st Score

153%
X8%
240%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

25%

X-1

19%

X-X

17%

2-2

13%

X-2

9%

2-X

6%

1-X

5%

2-1

4%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

12.6%

1-0

11.8%

2-1

10.1%

2-0

8.7%

0-0

7.7%

0-1

7.5%

1-2

6.6%

2-2

5.0%

3-1

4.5%

3-0

4.5%

0-2

3.9%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Vitória vs Vasco da Gama — Prediction Form & Streaks

Vitória have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 13th in the table. Vasco da Gama have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 18th in the table.

Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Vasco da Gama well in the Over/Under 3.5 Goals market, landing 4 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.

Full-Time ResultCorrect Streak
Vasco da GamaVasco da Gama
0 in a row
VitóriaVitória
2 in a row
Both Teams To ScoreCorrect Streak
Vasco da GamaVasco da Gama
1 in a row
VitóriaVitória
0 in a row
Over/Under 2.5 GoalsCorrect Streak
Vasco da GamaVasco da Gama
2 in a row
VitóriaVitória
0 in a row
Over/Under 3.5 GoalsCorrect Streak
Vasco da GamaVasco da Gama
4 in a row
VitóriaVitória
0 in a row
First Half ResultCorrect Streak
Vasco da GamaVasco da Gama
0 in a row
VitóriaVitória
0 in a row
Correct ScoreCorrect Streak
Vasco da GamaVasco da Gama
1 in a row
VitóriaVitória
0 in a row

Vitória & Vasco da Gama Teams in Best Form

VitóriaVitória
L
L
D
W
L
Vasco da GamaVasco da Gama
D
L
L
L
L
correct predictionincorrect
W
D
L
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