Botafogo vs Grêmio Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Serie A - Season 2026 (Round 21)
Botafogo vs Grêmio — Serie A Prediction Accuracy
Season 2026 · Round 21 · Regular Season
Full-Time Result
46.3% implied
Botafogo50%10/20+8%Above implied probability
Grêmio60%12/20+29.6%Strongly above implied probabilityBoth Teams To Score
54.7% implied
Botafogo50%10/20-8.6%Near implied probabilityGrêmio75%15/20+37.1%Strongly above implied probabilityOver/Under 2.5 Goals
54.5% implied
Botafogo30%6/20-45%Below implied probabilityGrêmio60%12/20+10.1%Strongly above implied probabilityOver/Under 3.5 Goals
59.9% implied
Botafogo60%12/20+0.2%Above implied probabilityGrêmio85%17/20+41.9%Strongly above implied probabilityFirst Half Result
38.6% implied
Botafogo35%7/20-9.3%Near implied probabilityGrêmio55%11/20+42.5%Strongly above implied probabilityBotafogo3/20Grêmio4/20Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Botafogo and Grêmio across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
First Half Result predictions for Grêmio hit at 55% accuracy — that's 42.5% above the bookmaker baseline of 38.6%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, Over/Under 2.5 Goals predictions for Botafogo sit 45% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Botafogo vs Grêmio — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Botafogo vs Grêmio. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Botafogo–
Grêmio–Winner
1 55%
BTTS**
No 51%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Botafogo–Grêmio–Winner
1 55%
BTTS**
No 51%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 29% | 71% | 54% | 46% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 65% | 35% | 86% | 14% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20% | 80% | 52% | 48% |
| 45% | 55% | 79% | 21% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78% | 22% | 92% | 8% |
| 95% | 5% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
35%
X-1
21%
X-X
15%
2-2
8%
X-2
7%
1-X
5%
2-1
4%
2-X
4%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-0
13.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-0
10.2%
2-1
10.2%
0-0
8.2%
0-1
7.0%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
5.2%
3-1
5.2%
2-2
4.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Botafogo vs Grêmio — Prediction Form & Streaks
Botafogo have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 7th in the table. Grêmio have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 15th in the table.
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Botafogo well in the Over/Under 3.5 Goals market, landing 5 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.
BotafogoGrêmioBotafogoGrêmioBotafogoGrêmioBotafogoGrêmioBotafogoGrêmioBotafogoGrêmioBotafogo & Grêmio Teams in Best Form
BotafogoGrêmio