Grêmio vs Chapecoense Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Serie A - Season 2026 (Round 25)
Grêmio vs Chapecoense — Serie A Prediction Accuracy
Season 2026 · Round 25 · Regular Season
Full-Time Result
43.9% implied
Chapecoense50%11/22+13.9%Strongly above implied probability
Grêmio63.6%14/22+44.9%Strongly above implied probabilityBoth Teams To Score
54.4% implied
Chapecoense68.2%15/22+25.4%Strongly above implied probabilityGrêmio72.7%16/22+33.6%Strongly above implied probabilityOver/Under 2.5 Goals
54.1% implied
Chapecoense50%11/22-7.6%Near implied probabilityGrêmio54.5%12/22+0.7%Above implied probabilityOver/Under 3.5 Goals
61% implied
Chapecoense63.6%14/22+4.3%Above implied probabilityGrêmio86.4%19/22+41.6%Strongly above implied probabilityFirst Half Result
38.4% implied
Chapecoense54.5%12/22+41.9%Strongly above implied probabilityGrêmio54.5%12/22+41.9%Strongly above implied probabilityChapecoense3/22Grêmio4/22Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Grêmio and Chapecoense across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
Full-Time Result predictions for Grêmio hit at 64% accuracy — that's 44.9% above the bookmaker baseline of 43.9%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, Over/Under 2.5 Goals predictions for Chapecoense sit 7.6% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Grêmio vs Chapecoense — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Grêmio vs Chapecoense. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Grêmio–
Chapecoense–Winner
1 64%
BTTS**
No 57%
Correct Score
1-0 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Grêmio–Chapecoense–Winner
1 64%
BTTS**
No 57%
Correct Score
1-0 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 29% | 71% | 54% | 46% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 66% | 34% | 86% | 14% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16% | 84% | 47% | 53% |
| 54% | 46% | 86% | 14% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 74% | 26% | 90% | 10% |
| 97% | 3% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
37%
X-1
21%
X-X
16%
2-2
7%
X-2
6%
1-X
5%
2-X
4%
2-1
3%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
1-0
15.0%
2-0
13.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-1
10.1%
0-0
8.2%
3-0
7.6%
3-1
5.5%
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-2
3.5%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Grêmio vs Chapecoense — Prediction Form & Streaks
Grêmio have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 15th in the table. Chapecoense have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 20th in the table.
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Grêmio well in the Over/Under 3.5 Goals market, landing 4 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.
ChapecoenseGrêmioChapecoenseGrêmioChapecoenseGrêmioChapecoenseGrêmioChapecoenseGrêmioChapecoenseGrêmioGrêmio & Chapecoense Teams in Best Form
GrêmioChapecoense