Grêmio vs Chapecoense 3-1 Score & Prediction Review
Serie A - Season 2026 (Round 25)
Grêmio vs Chapecoense — Serie A Prediction Accuracy
Season 2026 · Round 25 · Regular Season
Full-Time Result
42.9% implied
Chapecoense44.4%12/27+3.5%Above implied probability
Grêmio64.3%18/28+49.9%Strongly above implied probabilityBoth Teams To Score
54.5% implied
Chapecoense63%17/27+15.6%Strongly above implied probabilityGrêmio67.9%19/28+24.6%Strongly above implied probabilityOver/Under 2.5 Goals
53.9% implied
Chapecoense48.1%13/27-10.8%Below implied probabilityGrêmio53.6%15/28-0.6%Near implied probabilityOver/Under 3.5 Goals
59.1% implied
Chapecoense66.7%18/27+12.9%Strongly above implied probabilityGrêmio82.1%23/28+38.9%Strongly above implied probabilityFirst Half Result
37.6% implied
Chapecoense51.9%14/27+38%Strongly above implied probabilityGrêmio57.1%16/28+51.9%Strongly above implied probabilityChapecoense3/27Grêmio6/28Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Grêmio and Chapecoense across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
First Half Result predictions for Grêmio hit at 57% accuracy — that's 51.9% above the bookmaker baseline of 37.6%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, Over/Under 2.5 Goals predictions for Chapecoense sit 10.8% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Grêmio vs Chapecoense 3-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Grêmio vs Chapecoense. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Grêmio3
Chapecoense1Winner
1 63%
BTTS**
No 56%
Correct Score
1-0 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Grêmio3Chapecoense1Winner
1 63%
BTTS**
No 56%
Correct Score
1-0 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 28% | 72% | 54% | 46% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 65% | 35% | 86% | 14% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16% | 84% | 46% | 54% |
| 53% | 47% | 85% | 15% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 74% | 26% | 90% | 10% |
| 97% | 3% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
36%
X-1
21%
X-X
16%
2-2
7%
X-2
6%
1-X
5%
2-X
4%
2-1
3%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
1-0
14.6%
2-0
12.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-1
10.2%
0-0
8.0%
3-0
7.5%
3-1
5.5%
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-2
3.6%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Grêmio vs Chapecoense — Prediction Form & Streaks
Chapecoense have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 20th in the table. Grêmio have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 17th in the table.
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Chapecoense well in the Over/Under 3.5 Goals market, landing 3 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.
ChapecoenseGrêmioChapecoenseGrêmioChapecoenseGrêmioChapecoenseGrêmioChapecoenseGrêmioChapecoenseGrêmioGrêmio & Chapecoense Teams in Best Form
ChapecoenseGrêmio