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Internacional vs Corinthians

Internacional vs Corinthians 2-1 Score & Prediction Review

Serie A - Season 2026 (Round 29)

Fair result

Internacional

2–1

Corinthians

1.6Chances (xG)2.2

On these chances Internacional would usually take 1.1 points and Corinthians 1.7; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Internacional.

Internacional +1.9 pts vs chancesCorinthians −1.7 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Internacional vs Corinthians stats: how the match was played

Serie A

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Internacional

Corinthians

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

29%

Possession

71%

The match between Internacional and Corinthians ended 2-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a Internacional win with 44% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Corinthians – Vitória prediction & betting tips (Oct 19, 2026).

Internacional vs Corinthians — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Serie A

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Internacional to win

Correct

Our model 44%Bookmakers 38%

Our track record

In 3,629 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong

Our model 55%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 5,733 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 61%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 81%Bookmakers 83%

Our track record

In 1,741 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.4% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

Our model 49%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 4,251 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

Internacional Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Internacional 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 64%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 3,465 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.9% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).

Corinthians Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Corinthians 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 76%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 2,601 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Internacional vs Corinthians 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Internacional vs Corinthians. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Serie A - Brazil

Internacional2

Corinthians1

Winner

1X 73%

BTTS*

No 55%

Correct Score

1-0 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 61%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 71%

· FT

Serie A - Brazil

Internacional2

Corinthians1

Winner

1X 73%

BTTS*

No 55%

Correct Score

1-0 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 61%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 71%

Full Time

144%

X28%

227%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	35%	65%	61%	39%	71%	29%	91%	9%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	35%	65%	61%	39%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	71%	29%	91%	9%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	29%	71%	64%	36%	87%	14%	96%	4%
	41%	59%	76%	24%	93%	7%	98%	2%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	29%	71%	64%	36%
	41%	59%	76%	24%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	87%	14%	96%	4%
	93%	7%	98%	2%

1st Half

134%

X49%

217%

1st Score

155%

X11%

234%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

28%

X-X

19%

X-1

18%

2-2

11%

X-2

10%

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-0

13.6%

1-1

12.7%

0-0

11.2%

0-1

10.3%

2-1

8.8%

2-0

8.6%

1-2

6.2%

0-2

4.8%

2-2

4.1%

3-0

3.5%

3-1

3.4%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Internacional vs Corinthians — Recent Form

Internacional have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 17th in the table. Corinthians have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 16th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Internacional

Corinthians

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Corinthians

3/5

Internacional

3/5

Both Teams to Score

Corinthians

0/5

Internacional

4/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Corinthians

0/5

Internacional

3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Corinthians

3/5

Internacional

5/5

First Half Result

Corinthians

2/5

Internacional

2/5

Correct Score

Corinthians

0/5

Internacional

2/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Corinthians – Vitória prediction & betting tips (Oct 19, 2026).