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Inter vs Parma

Inter vs Parma 3-0 Score & Prediction Review

Serie A - Season 2026/2027 (Round 6)

Fair result

Inter

3–0

Parma

2.5Chances (xG)0.7

On these chances Inter would usually take 2.5 points and Parma 0.4; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Inter.

Inter +0.5 pts vs chancesParma −0.4 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Inter vs Parma stats: how the match was played

Serie A

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Inter had more than twice the shots on target

Inter

Parma

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

59%

Possession

41%

The match between Inter and Parma ended 3-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Inter win with 77% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Milan – Inter prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

Inter vs Parma — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Serie A

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Inter to win

Correct

Our model 77%Bookmakers 84%

Our track record

In 144 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 84.0% of the time (bookmakers said 80.9%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct

Our model 58%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 5,711 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 57%Bookmakers 69%

Our track record

In 5,302 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.6% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 64%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 2,408 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.7% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Inter ahead at half-time

Correct

Our model 66%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

Too few similar matches in the last 12 months for a track record.

Inter Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Inter 2+ goals

Correct

Our model 68%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 2,663 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.2% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Parma Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Parma 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 90%Bookmakers 87%

Our track record

In 126 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 90–95% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 85.7% of the time (bookmakers said 88.5%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Inter vs Parma 3-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Inter vs Parma. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Serie A - Italy

Inter3

Parma0

Winner

1 77%

BTTS*

No 57%

Correct Score

2-0 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 54%

· FT

Serie A - Italy

Inter3

Parma0

Winner

1 77%

BTTS*

No 57%

Correct Score

2-0 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 54%

Full Time

177%

X16%

28%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	21%	79%	43%	57%	54%	46%	74%	26%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	21%	79%	43%	57%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	54%	46%	74%	26%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	10%	90%	32%	68%	57%	43%	77%	23%
	64%	36%	90%	10%	98%	2%	100%	0%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	10%	90%	32%	68%
	64%	36%	90%	10%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	57%	43%	77%	23%
	98%	2%	100%	0%

1st Half

166%

X26%

27%

1st Score

179%

X5%

216%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

61%

X-1

19%

X-X

2-1

2-2

1-X

X-2

2-X

1-2

Correct Score

2-0

13.6%

1-0

12.3%

3-0

10.3%

2-1

8.6%

1-1

7.1%

3-1

6.9%

0-0

5.4%

0-1

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Inter vs Parma — Recent Form

Inter have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 1st in the table. Parma have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 18th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Inter

Parma

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Parma

3/5

Inter

4/5

Both Teams to Score

Parma

2/5

Inter

3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Parma

3/5

Inter

3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Parma

5/5

Inter

3/5

First Half Result

Parma

2/5

Inter

3/5

Correct Score

Parma

0/5

Inter

1/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Milan – Inter prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).