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Roma vs Genoa

Roma vs Genoa 2-0 Score & Prediction Review

Serie A - Season 2026/2027 (Round 7)

Fair result

Roma

2–0

Genoa

1.5Chances (xG)0.6

On these chances Roma would usually take 2.0 points and Genoa 0.8; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Roma.

Roma +1.0 pts vs chancesGenoa −0.8 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Roma vs Genoa stats: how the match was played

Serie A

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Roma had more than twice the shots on target

Roma

Genoa

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

66%

Possession

34%

The match between Roma and Genoa ended 2-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Roma win with 66% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Udinese – Roma prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

Roma vs Genoa — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Serie A

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Roma to win

Correct

Our model 66%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 616 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 70.5% of the time (bookmakers said 70.8%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct

Our model 55%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 5,711 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 51%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 5,149 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 71%Bookmakers 73%

Our track record

In 4,544 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.4%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Roma ahead at half-time

Wrong

Our model 44%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 6,634 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.4% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).

Roma Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Roma 2+ goals

Correct

Our model 58%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 3,471 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).

Genoa Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Genoa 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 85%Bookmakers 80%

Our track record

In 1,482 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 79.0% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Roma vs Genoa 2-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Roma vs Genoa. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Serie A - Italy

Roma2

Genoa0

Winner

1 66%

BTTS*

No 55%

Correct Score

1-0 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 61%

· FT

Serie A - Italy

Roma2

Genoa0

Winner

1 66%

BTTS*

No 55%

Correct Score

1-0 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 61%

Full Time

166%

X22%

213%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	25%	75%	49%	51%	61%	39%	82%	18%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	25%	75%	49%	51%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	61%	39%	82%	18%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	15%	86%	42%	58%	69%	31%	87%	13%
	55%	45%	85%	15%	97%	3%	99%	1%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	15%	86%	42%	58%
	55%	45%	85%	15%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	69%	31%	87%	13%
	97%	3%	99%	1%

1st Half

144%

X41%

215%

1st Score

165%

X7%

228%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

40%

X-1

20%

X-X

15%

2-2

X-2

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-0

13.3%

2-0

12.5%

1-1

10.0%

2-1

9.5%

3-0

8.5%

0-0

7.2%

3-1

6.0%

0-1

4.5%

2-2

4.0%

1-2

3.7%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Roma vs Genoa — Recent Form

Roma have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 3rd in the table. Genoa have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 13th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Roma

Genoa

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Roma

2/5

Genoa

4/5

Both Teams to Score

Roma

3/5

Genoa

2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Roma

3/5

Genoa

1/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Roma

2/5

Genoa

5/5

First Half Result

Roma

2/5

Genoa

0/5

Correct Score

Roma

0/5

Genoa

0/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Udinese – Roma prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).