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Avaí vs Londrina

Avaí vs Londrina 2-1 Score & Prediction Review

Serie B - Season 2026 (Round 32)

Fair result

Avaí

2–1

Londrina

1.0Chances (xG)1.5

On these chances Avaí would usually take 1.0 points and Londrina 1.7; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Avaí.

Avaí +2.0 pts vs chancesLondrina −1.7 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Avaí vs Londrina stats: how the match was played

Serie B

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Avaí

Londrina

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

41%

Possession

60%

The match between Avaí and Londrina ended 2-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a Avaí win with 45% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Náutico – Avaí prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

Avaí vs Londrina — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Serie B

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Avaí to win

Correct

Our model 45%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 3,596 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.4% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: No, not both.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 3,093 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 55%Bookmakers 61%

Our track record

In 5,142 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.2% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 77%Bookmakers 80%

Our track record

In 3,633 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.1% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

Our model 49%Bookmakers 47%

Our track record

In 4,268 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Avaí Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Avaí 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 61%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 3,455 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).

Londrina Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Londrina 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 72%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 3,360 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Avaí vs Londrina 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Avaí vs Londrina. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Serie B - Brazil

Avaí2

Londrina1

Winner

1X 71%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 67%

· FT

Serie B - Brazil

Avaí2

Londrina1

Winner

1X 71%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 67%

Full Time

145%

X27%

229%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	29%	71%	55%	45%	67%	33%	88%	12%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	29%	71%	55%	45%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	67%	33%	88%	12%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	25%	75%	61%	39%	85%	15%	95%	5%
	36%	64%	72%	28%	91%	9%	98%	2%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	25%	75%	61%	39%
	36%	64%	72%	28%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	85%	15%	95%	5%
	91%	9%	98%	2%

1st Half

131%

X49%

220%

1st Score

154%

X8%

238%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

24%

X-1

18%

X-X

17%

2-2

14%

X-2

12%

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-1

13.2%

1-0

12.3%

2-1

9.8%

0-1

9.1%

0-0

8.0%

2-0

7.8%

1-2

7.2%

2-2

4.8%

0-2

4.5%

3-1

4.0%

3-0

3.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Avaí vs Londrina — Recent Form

Avaí have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 17th in the table. Londrina have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 18th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Avaí

Londrina

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Avaí

1/5

Londrina

3/5

Both Teams to Score

Avaí

3/5

Londrina

5/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Avaí

4/5

Londrina

3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Avaí

5/5

Londrina

4/5

First Half Result

Avaí

2/5

Londrina

3/5

Correct Score

Avaí

0/5

Londrina

1/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Náutico – Avaí prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).