Fortaleza vs CRB 2-2 Score & Prediction Review
Serie B - Season 2026 (Round 33)
CRB drew despite more chances
Fortaleza2–2
CRBOn these chances Fortaleza would usually take 0.8 points and CRB 2.0; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Fortaleza.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Fortaleza vs CRB stats: how the match was played
Serie B
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
CRB had more than twice the shots on target
Fortaleza
CRB
3
Shots on target
9
0
Big chances
2
6
Corners
11
3
Yellow cards
1
42%
Possession
58%
Fortaleza vs CRB — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Serie B
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Fortaleza to win
WrongOur track record
In 3,602 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.4% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 6,482 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 2.5 goals.
Our track record
In 2,848 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,642 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 4,281 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).
Our model’s pick
Fortaleza 0–1 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Fortaleza 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 1,020 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.8% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
CRB 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,367 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Fortaleza vs CRB 2-2 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Fortaleza vs CRB. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Fortaleza2
CRB2Winner
1X 72%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Fortaleza2CRB2Winner
1X 72%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 28% | 72% | 53% | 47% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 66% | 34% | 88% | 12% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25% | 75% | 59% | 41% |
| 36% | 64% | 72% | 28% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84% | 16% | 95% | 5% |
| 90% | 10% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
24%
X-1
18%
X-X
18%
2-2
14%
X-2
10%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
13.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
10.6%
0-1
8.3%
0-0
8.2%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-2
5.3%
0-2
4.1%
3-1
4.0%
3-0
3.5%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Fortaleza vs CRB — Recent Form
Fortaleza have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 4th in the table. CRB have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 6th in the table.
Last 5 matches
FortalezaCRBOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
FortalezaCRBBoth Teams to Score
FortalezaCRBOver/Under 2.5 Goals
FortalezaCRBOver/Under 3.5 Goals
FortalezaCRBFirst Half Result
FortalezaCRBCorrect Score
FortalezaCRB