Criciúma vs América Mineiro 1-0 Score & Prediction Review
Serie B - Season 2026 (Round 33)
Criciúma1–0
América MineiroOn these chances Criciúma would usually take 2.1 points and América Mineiro 0.7; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Criciúma.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Criciúma vs América Mineiro stats: how the match was played
Serie B
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Criciúma had clearly more shots on target
Criciúma
América Mineiro
3
Shots on target
2
3
Big chances
0
9
Corners
7
3
Yellow cards
2
55%
Possession
45%
Criciúma vs América Mineiro — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Serie B
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Criciúma to win
CorrectOur track record
In 1,065 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 66.7% of the time (bookmakers said 66.3%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
CorrectOur track record
In 5,708 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 2.5 goals.
Our track record
In 2,848 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,642 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Criciúma ahead at half-time.
Our track record
In 2,263 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Criciúma 2+ goals
WrongOur track record
In 2,799 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).
Our model’s pick
América Mineiro 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,483 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 79.0% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Criciúma vs América Mineiro 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Criciúma vs América Mineiro. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Criciúma1
América Mineiro0Winner
1 63%
BTTS*
No 56%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Criciúma1América Mineiro0Winner
1 63%
BTTS*
No 56%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 26% | 74% | 51% | 49% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 66% | 35% | 86% | 14% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16% | 84% | 46% | 54% |
| 51% | 49% | 83% | 17% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 74% | 26% | 90% | 10% |
| 96% | 4% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
38%
X-1
20%
X-X
16%
X-2
7%
2-2
7%
1-X
4%
2-X
4%
2-1
3%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
1-0
13.7%
2-0
12.3%
2-1
11.4%
1-1
10.2%
3-0
7.8%
0-0
7.8%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
5.0%
1-2
4.3%
2-2
3.7%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Criciúma vs América Mineiro — Recent Form
Criciúma have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 5th in the table. América Mineiro have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 19th in the table.
Last 5 matches
CriciúmaAmérica MineiroOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
CriciúmaAmérica MineiroBoth Teams to Score
CriciúmaAmérica MineiroOver/Under 2.5 Goals
CriciúmaAmérica MineiroOver/Under 3.5 Goals
CriciúmaAmérica MineiroFirst Half Result
CriciúmaAmérica MineiroCorrect Score
CriciúmaAmérica Mineiro