1. Juve Stabia vs Pisa

Juve Stabia vs Pisa 0-3 Score & Prediction Review

Serie B - Season 2026/2027 (Round 3)

Fair result
Juve StabiaJuve Stabia

0–3

PisaPisa
1.3Chances (xG)1.6

On these chances Juve Stabia would usually take 1.2 points and Pisa 1.6; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Pisa.

Juve Stabia −1.2 pts vs chancesPisa +1.4 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Juve Stabia vs Pisa stats: how the match was played

Serie B

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Pisa had more than twice the shots on target

Juve Stabia

Pisa

3

Shots on target

7

1

Big chances

4

4

Corners

3

2

Yellow cards

2

62%

Possession

38%

The match between Juve Stabia and Pisa ended 0-3. Our AI model predicted a Juve Stabia win at 50% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Juve Stabia – Südtirol prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Juve Stabia vs Pisa — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Serie B

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Juve Stabia to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Pisa to win.

Our model 50%Bookmakers 28%

Our track record

In 380 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 27.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.8% than to our 45–50%.

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Yes, both score.

Our model 56%Bookmakers 48%

Our track record

In 559 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.8% than to our 55–60%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 56%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 76%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 3,681 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 45%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Juve Stabia Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Juve Stabia 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 57%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 3,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Pisa Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Pisa 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 78%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 2,600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Juve Stabia vs Pisa 0-3 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Juve Stabia vs Pisa. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Juve StabiaJuve Stabia0
PisaPisa3

Winner

1X 77%

BTTS*

No 56%

Correct Score

1-0 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 66%

Full Time

150%
X27%
223%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT32%68%56%44%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT66%34%87%13%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Juve Stabia25%75%57%43%
Pisa46%54%78%22%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Juve Stabia81%19%92%8%
Pisa93%7%98%2%

1st Half

136%
X45%
219%

1st Score

156%
X11%
234%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

32%

X-1

18%

X-X

18%

2-2

13%

X-2

7%

1-X

4%

2-X

4%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-0

13.4%

1-1

11.1%

0-0

10.7%

2-0

9.3%

2-1

8.7%

0-1

7.8%

1-2

5.7%

3-0

4.8%

3-1

4.3%

2-2

4.1%

0-2

3.4%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Juve Stabia – Südtirol prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

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