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Young Boys vs Thun 1-2 Score & Prediction Review

Super League - Season 2025/2026 (Round 29)

Fair result
Young BoysYoung Boys

1–2

ThunThun
1.8Chances (xG)1.8

On these chances Young Boys would usually take 1.4 points and Thun 1.4; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Young Boys.

Young Boys −1.4 pts vs chancesThun +1.6 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Young Boys vs Thun stats: how the match was played

Super League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Young Boys

Thun

6

Shots on target

5

4

Big chances

5

3

Corners

7

4

Yellow cards

4

51%

Possession

49%

The match between Young Boys and Thun ended 1-2. Our AI model predicted a Young Boys win at 41% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Young Boys – St. Gallen prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Young Boys vs Thun — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Super League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Young Boys to win

Wrong
Our model 41%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 3,600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 66%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 408 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.3% of the time (bookmakers said 65.4%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 68%Bookmakers 65%

Our track record

In 1,162 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 54%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 284 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.4% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 39%Bookmakers 37%

Our track record

In 1,996 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.2% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).

Young Boys Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Young Boys 0–1 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Young Boys 2+ goals.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 1,855 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.

Thun Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Thun 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 55%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 1,010 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.3%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Young Boys vs Thun 1-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Young Boys vs Thun. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Super League - Switzerland
Young BoysYoung Boys1
ThunThun2

Winner

1X 64%

BTTS*

Yes 66%

Correct Score

1-1 09%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 68%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 56%

Full Time

141%
X22%
236%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT14%86%32%68%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT44%56%69%31%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Young Boys24%76%51%49%
Thun27%73%54%46%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Young Boys75%25%89%11%
Thun77%23%90%10%

1st Half

133%
X39%
228%

1st Score

152%
X3%
245%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

26%

2-2

19%

X-1

14%

X-X

14%

X-2

11%

1-X

6%

2-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

9.2%

2-1

8.4%

1-2

7.6%

2-2

6.9%

1-0

5.7%

0-1

4.8%

2-0

4.8%

3-1

4.8%

1-3

4.2%

3-2

4.2%

0-2

3.9%

2-3

3.8%

0-0

3.4%

3-0

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Young Boys – St. Gallen prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

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