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Zürich vs Basel

Zürich vs Basel 1-2 Score & Prediction Review

Super League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 4)

Fair result

Zürich

1–2

Basel

2.3Chances (xG)2.1

On these chances Zürich would usually take 1.5 points and Basel 1.3; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Basel.

Zürich −1.5 pts vs chancesBasel +1.7 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Zürich vs Basel stats: how the match was played

Super League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Zürich

Basel

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

41%

Possession

59%

The match between Zürich and Basel ended 1-2. Our AI model correctly predicted an Basel win with 49% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.

Zürich vs Basel — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Super League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Basel to win

Correct

Our model 49%Bookmakers 39%

Our track record

In 3,513 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 67%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 406 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.1% of the time (bookmakers said 65.2%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 69%Bookmakers 61%

Our track record

In 1,157 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 53%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 286 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Basel ahead at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Draw at half-time.

Our model 37%Bookmakers 32%

Our track record

In 1,233 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.1% than to our 35–40%.

Zürich Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Zürich 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 61%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 3,463 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.8% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).

Basel Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Basel 2+ goals

Correct

Our model 56%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 1,616 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Zürich vs Basel 1-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Zürich vs Basel. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Super League - Switzerland

Zürich1

Basel2

Winner

X2 70%

BTTS*

Yes 67%

Correct Score

1-2 09%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 69%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 57%

· FT

Super League - Switzerland

Zürich1

Basel2

Winner

X2 70%

BTTS*

Yes 67%

Correct Score

1-2 09%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 69%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 57%

Full Time

130%

X21%

249%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	13%	87%	31%	69%	43%	57%	69%	31%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	13%	87%	31%	69%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	43%	57%	69%	31%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	32%	68%	61%	39%	82%	18%	94%	6%
	19%	81%	44%	56%	69%	31%	86%	14%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	32%	68%	61%	39%
	19%	81%	44%	56%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	82%	18%	94%	6%
	69%	31%	86%	14%

1st Half

127%

X35%

237%

1st Score

144%

X3%

253%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

30%

1-1

17%

X-2

13%

X-X

12%

X-1

11%

2-X

1-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-2

9.2%

1-1

8.9%

2-2

7.0%

2-1

6.9%

1-3

5.7%

0-2

5.7%

0-1

5.7%

2-3

4.5%

1-0

4.4%

0-3

4.0%

3-1

3.6%

3-2

3.6%

2-0

3.4%

0-0

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score