1. Amed SK vs Erzurumspor FK

Amed SK vs BB Erzurumspor 3-0 Score & Prediction Review

Super Lig - Season 2026/2027 (Round 1)

Fair result
Amed SKAmed SK

3–0

BB ErzurumsporBB Erzurumspor
1.4Chances (xG)0.4

On these chances Amed SK would usually take 2.2 points and BB Erzurumspor 0.6; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Amed SK.

Amed SK +0.9 pts vs chancesBB Erzurumspor −0.6 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Amed SK vs BB Erzurumspor stats: how the match was played

Super Lig

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Amed SK had more than twice the shots on target

Amed SK

BB Erzurumspor

5

Shots on target

1

3

Big chances

0

4

Corners

4

1

Yellow cards

0

47%

Possession

53%

The match between Amed SK and BB Erzurumspor ended 3-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Amed SK win with 47% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: BB Erzurumspor – Çorum FK prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

Amed SK vs BB Erzurumspor — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Super Lig

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Amed SK to win

Correct
Our model 47%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 3,513 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 51%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 2.5 goals.

Our model 52%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 2,855 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 73%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 4,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 42%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Amed SK Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Amed SK 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 56%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 3,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

BB Erzurumspor Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

BB Erzurumspor 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 73%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,381 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Amed SK vs BB Erzurumspor 3-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Amed SK vs BB Erzurumspor. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Amed SKAmed SK3
BB ErzurumsporBB Erzurumspor0

Winner

1X 74%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 63%

Full Time

147%
X27%
226%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT26%74%52%48%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT63%37%85%15%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Amed SK24%76%56%44%
BB Erzurumspor38%62%73%27%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Amed SK80%20%93%7%
BB Erzurumspor91%9%97%3%

1st Half

142%
X42%
216%

1st Score

161%
X8%
231%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

36%

X-1

18%

X-X

16%

2-2

9%

X-2

7%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

1-1

12.6%

1-0

11.0%

2-1

9.5%

2-0

8.4%

0-1

7.8%

0-0

7.7%

1-2

6.1%

2-2

5.1%

3-1

4.4%

3-0

4.3%

0-2

4.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: BB Erzurumspor – Çorum FK prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

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