Çorum FK vs Kasımpaşa 0-1 Score & Prediction Review
Super Lig - Season 2026/2027 (Round 2)
Kasımpaşa won with less than half the chances
Çorum FK0–1
KasımpaşaOn these chances Çorum FK would usually take 2.2 points and Kasımpaşa 0.6; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Çorum FK.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Çorum FK vs Kasımpaşa stats: how the match was played
Super Lig
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Çorum FK had more than twice the shots on target
Çorum FK
Kasımpaşa
2
Shots on target
1
3
Big chances
0
7
Corners
0
0
Yellow cards
3
74%
Possession
26%
Çorum FK vs Kasımpaşa — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Super Lig
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Çorum FK to win
WrongOur track record
In 1,061 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 67.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.4%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Yes, both score.
Our track record
In 3,138 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 5,183 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 4,583 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).
Our model’s pick
Çorum FK ahead at half-time
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Draw at half-time.
Our track record
In 531 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 38.9% than to our 45–50%.
Our model’s pick
Çorum FK 2+ goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Çorum FK 0–1 goals.
Our track record
In 1,867 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Kasımpaşa 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,503 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 78.8% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Çorum FK vs Kasımpaşa 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Çorum FK vs Kasımpaşa. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Çorum FK0
Kasımpaşa1Winner
1 60%
BTTS*
No 53%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Çorum FK0Kasımpaşa1Winner
1 60%
BTTS*
No 53%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 25% | 75% | 49% | 51% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 61% | 39% | 83% | 17% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17% | 83% | 46% | 54% |
| 49% | 51% | 81% | 19% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 72% | 28% | 88% | 12% |
| 94% | 6% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
45%
X-1
21%
X-X
12%
2-2
6%
X-2
5%
2-1
4%
1-X
3%
2-X
3%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
1-0
12.6%
2-0
10.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-1
10.0%
0-0
7.2%
3-0
7.0%
3-1
5.7%
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-2
4.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score