OFK Beograd vs Crvena Zvezda Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Superliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 13)

Riding their luck

Crvena Zvezda are taking more points than their chances usually bring

+5points more than their chances usually bring in their last 10

85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games.

OFK Beograd vs Crvena Zvezda score prediction

Superliga

The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.

Goal-fest alert3.1 goals expected

3.1 goals in total: more goals than a typical Superliga game (average 2.6).

goals expected

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.

Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.

Goal-fest alert: we expect at least 2.7 goals, clearly more than usual in this league (8.5% above the average). Since July 2025, these games averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.

Bore draw alert: we expect 2.3 goals or fewer, clearly less than usual (11% below the average). These games averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.

Bookmakers usually see these coming too, so use the alert to know what kind of game to expect, not as a betting edge.

How we measure →
The match OFK Beograd vs Crvena Zvezda will be played on Saturday, October 24 as part of the 2026/2027 season. This fixture will be played in the Round 13 of the Superliga, played in Serbia. On this page, you’ll find our detailed football prediction for OFK Beograd vs Crvena Zvezda, including full-time result (1X2) probabilities, draw chances, and additional betting insights. Our predictions are generated using data-driven models that analyze team form, recent performances, and historical trends to deliver reliable match forecasts.

OFK Beograd vs Crvena Zvezda — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for OFK Beograd vs Crvena Zvezda. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

OFK BeogradOFK Beograd–
Crvena ZvezdaCrvena Zvezda–

Winner

2 65%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

0-2 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 59%

Full Time

114%
X21%
265%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT23%77%46%54%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT59%41%81%19%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
OFK Beograd52%48%82%18%
Crvena Zvezda14%86%40%60%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
OFK Beograd95%5%99%1%
Crvena Zvezda68%32%86%14%

1st Half

115%
X41%
244%

1st Score

125%
X6%
269%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

40%

X-2

21%

X-X

12%

1-1

7%

X-1

6%

1-2

5%

2-X

5%

1-X

4%

2-1

1%

Correct Score

0-2

12.2%

0-1

11.9%

1-2

9.7%

1-1

9.0%

0-3

8.5%

0-0

6.3%

1-3

6.2%

2-2

4.7%

1-0

4.4%

2-1

4.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

OFK Beograd vs Crvena Zvezda: the stats that stand out

Superliga

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

Crvena Zvezda: brick wall, banker as favourites and fast starters

Brick wall
Crvena Zvezda7/10

Crvena Zvezda kept 7 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 32%).

Banker as favourites
Crvena Zvezda9/10

Crvena Zvezda won 9 of 10 as favourites (league 53%).

Fast starters
Crvena Zvezda8/10

Crvena Zvezda scored first in 8 of their last 10 (league 43%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

OFK Beograd vs Crvena Zvezda: attack vs defence

Superliga

Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

other Superliga teamsleague averagelast 10 games

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

  • OFK BeogradOFK Beograd: weak attack, good defence (1.37 xG, 1.45 xGA a game)
  • Crvena ZvezdaCrvena Zvezda: good attack, good defence (2.02 xG, 0.96 xGA)

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

OFK Beograd vs Crvena Zvezda form and luck check

Superliga

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Superliga games

Crvena Zvezda are taking more points than their chances usually bring

  • OFK Beograd
    OFK Beograd
    −3.9
  • Crvena Zvezda
    Crvena Zvezda
    +4.7

Last 5 matches

Crvena ZvezdaCrvena Zvezda
W
W
W
W
D
1st in table
OFK BeogradOFK Beograd
L
L
D
L
W
11th in table
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

Strength rank: OFK Beograd 10th of 14 · Crvena Zvezda 1st of 14

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

Strength rank: we rank this season's 14 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.

How we measure →

OFK Beograd vs Crvena Zvezda: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

Superliga

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Superliga gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Both teams score in Crvena Zvezda games less often than the Superliga average (50%), in OFK Beograd games more often.

Over 2.5 goalsleague 50%
OFK Beograd6 of 10
Crvena Zvezda6 of 10
BTTSleague 50%
OFK Beograd6 of 10
Crvena Zvezda3 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 282 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

OFK Beograd vs Crvena Zvezda corners, cards and goal times

Superliga

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePro · free for now

Goal times close to the Superliga average

OFK Beograd

Crvena Zvezda

3.0

Corners won · league 4.4

4.2

4.0

Corners conceded · league 4.4

3.5

2.4

Cards · league 2.4

2.6

3.1

Opponents' cards · league 2.4

2.2

54%

Goals before half-time · league 46%

45%

0%

Goals after 75' · league 21%

18%

38%

Conceded before half-time · league 46%

100%

24%

Conceded after 75' · league 21%

0%

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Crvena ZvezdaCrvena Zvezda
4/5
OFK BeogradOFK Beograd
4/5

Both Teams to Score

Crvena ZvezdaCrvena Zvezda
2/5
OFK BeogradOFK Beograd
3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Crvena ZvezdaCrvena Zvezda
2/5
OFK BeogradOFK Beograd
3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Crvena ZvezdaCrvena Zvezda
5/5
OFK BeogradOFK Beograd
2/5

First Half Result

Crvena ZvezdaCrvena Zvezda
5/5
OFK BeogradOFK Beograd
2/5

Correct Score

Crvena ZvezdaCrvena Zvezda
1/5
OFK BeogradOFK Beograd
2/5
correct predictionwrong prediction

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