1. Mladost Lučani vs Novi Pazar

Mladost Lučani vs Novi Pazar 0-0 Score & Prediction Review

Superliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 2)

Fair result
Mladost LučaniMladost Lučani

0–0

Novi PazarNovi Pazar
1.4Chances (xG)1.8

On these chances Mladost Lučani would usually take 1.1 points and Novi Pazar 1.7; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Novi Pazar.

Mladost Lučani −0.1 pts vs chancesNovi Pazar −0.6 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Mladost Lučani vs Novi Pazar stats: how the match was played

Superliga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Novi Pazar had clearly more shots on target

Mladost Lučani

Novi Pazar

5

Shots on target

8

2

Big chances

1

3

Corners

6

2

Yellow cards

1

38%

Possession

62%

The match between Mladost Lučani and Novi Pazar ended 0-0. Our AI model predicted a Mladost Lučani win at 38% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Crvena Zvezda – Mladost Lučani prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Mladost Lučani vs Novi Pazar — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Superliga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Mladost Lučani to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Novi Pazar to win.

Our model 39%Bookmakers 34%

Our track record

In 1,528 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.5% than to our 35–40%.

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Yes, both score.

Our model 53%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 3,139 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 60%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 79%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 3,681 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 49%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

Mladost Lučani Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Mladost Lučani 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 66%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 2,712 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Novi Pazar Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Novi Pazar 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 72%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,381 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Mladost Lučani vs Novi Pazar 0-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Mladost Lučani vs Novi Pazar. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Mladost LučaniMladost Lučani0
Novi PazarNovi Pazar0

Winner

12 70%

BTTS*

No 53%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 69%

Full Time

138%
X30%
231%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT34%66%60%40%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT69%31%90%10%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Mladost Lučani32%68%66%34%
Novi Pazar37%63%72%28%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Mladost Lučani88%12%97%3%
Novi Pazar90%10%97%3%

1st Half

126%
X49%
225%

1st Score

147%
X11%
242%

Half Time/Full Time

X-X

23%

1-1

19%

2-2

17%

X-1

15%

X-2

12%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

13.5%

1-0

12.0%

0-0

11.2%

0-1

10.3%

2-1

8.1%

2-0

7.2%

1-2

6.7%

0-2

5.5%

2-2

4.8%

3-1

3.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Crvena Zvezda – Mladost Lučani prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

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