Mladost Lučani vs Čukarički 2-2 Score & Prediction Review
Superliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 4)
Mladost Lučani drew despite more chances
Mladost Lučani2–2
ČukaričkiOn these chances Mladost Lučani would usually take 2.4 points and Čukarički 0.4; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Čukarički.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Mladost Lučani vs Čukarički stats: how the match was played
Superliga
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Mladost Lučani had more than twice the shots on target
Mladost Lučani
Čukarički
4
Shots on target
2
5
Big chances
1
10
Corners
3
3
Yellow cards
4
57%
Possession
43%
Mladost Lučani vs Čukarički — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Superliga
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Čukarički to win
WrongOur track record
In 2,116 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.6% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Yes, both score.
Our track record
In 3,139 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,681 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).
Our model’s pick
Mladost Lučani 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 1,588 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Our model’s pick
Čukarički 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,280 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Mladost Lučani vs Čukarički 2-2 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Mladost Lučani vs Čukarički. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Mladost Lučani2
Čukarički2Winner
X2 70%
BTTS*
No 53%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
Mladost Lučani2Čukarički2Winner
X2 70%
BTTS*
No 53%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 33% | 67% | 59% | 41% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 69% | 31% | 89% | 11% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38% | 62% | 73% | 27% |
| 30% | 70% | 65% | 35% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91% | 9% | 98% | 2% |
| 87% | 13% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
X-X
22%
2-2
22%
1-1
15%
X-2
15%
X-1
12%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
2%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
13.6%
0-1
12.1%
0-0
11.4%
1-0
9.8%
1-2
8.0%
0-2
7.3%
2-1
7.0%
2-0
5.1%
2-2
4.5%
1-3
3.5%
0-3
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score