Mačva Šabac vs IMT Novi Beograd 1-0 Score & Prediction Review
Superliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 4)
Mačva Šabac won with less than half the chances
Mačva Šabac1–0
IMT Novi BeogradOn these chances Mačva Šabac would usually take 0.8 points and IMT Novi Beograd 2.0; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: IMT Novi Beograd.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Mačva Šabac vs IMT Novi Beograd stats: how the match was played
Superliga
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
IMT Novi Beograd had more than twice the shots on target
Mačva Šabac
IMT Novi Beograd
2
Shots on target
7
1
Big chances
0
2
Corners
5
3
Yellow cards
0
41%
Possession
59%
Mačva Šabac vs IMT Novi Beograd — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Superliga
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
IMT Novi Beograd to win
WrongOur track record
In 2,107 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.6% of the time (bookmakers said 43.9%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
CorrectOur track record
In 6,484 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,118 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,744 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.6% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 1,246 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.3% of the time (bookmakers said 51.8%).
Our model’s pick
Mačva Šabac 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,582 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Our model’s pick
IMT Novi Beograd 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,279 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Mačva Šabac vs IMT Novi Beograd 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Mačva Šabac vs IMT Novi Beograd. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Mačva Šabac1
IMT Novi Beograd0Winner
12 71%
BTTS*
No 54%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 71%
Mačva Šabac1IMT Novi Beograd0Winner
12 71%
BTTS*
No 54%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 71%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 35% | 65% | 61% | 39% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 71% | 29% | 91% | 9% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37% | 63% | 73% | 27% |
| 33% | 67% | 68% | 32% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 92% | 8% | 98% | 2% |
| 88% | 12% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
X-X
21%
2-2
21%
1-1
18%
X-1
14%
X-2
13%
2-X
5%
1-X
4%
1-2
2%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
13.2%
0-1
11.9%
0-0
11.5%
1-0
11.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
7.1%
0-2
7.0%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
4.1%
1-3
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score