1. Mačva Šabac vs Radnički Kragujevac

Mačva Šabac vs Radnički Kragujevac 0-0 Score & Prediction Review

Superliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 8)

Robbed

Radnički Kragujevac drew despite more chances

Mačva ŠabacMačva Šabac

0–0

Radnički KragujevacRadnički Kragujevac
0.6Chances (xG)1.9

On these chances Mačva Šabac would usually take 0.6 points and Radnički Kragujevac 2.2; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Radnički Kragujevac.

Mačva Šabac +0.4 pts vs chancesRadnički Kragujevac −1.2 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Mačva Šabac vs Radnički Kragujevac stats: how the match was played

Superliga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Radnički Kragujevac had more than twice the shots on target

Mačva Šabac

Radnički Kragujevac

2

Shots on target

5

0

Big chances

4

3

Corners

6

4

Yellow cards

3

43%

Possession

57%

The match between Mačva Šabac and Radnički Kragujevac ended 0-0. Our AI model predicted an Radnički Kragujevac win at 41% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Radnički Kragujevac – Radnik Surdulica prediction & betting tips (Oct 23, 2026).

Mačva Šabac vs Radnički Kragujevac — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Superliga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Radnički Kragujevac to win

Wrong
Our model 41%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 3,629 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct
Our model 54%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 6,506 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 61%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 81%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 1,741 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.4% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 48%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 4,251 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

Mačva Šabac Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Mačva Šabac 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 76%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 842 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.5%).

Radnički Kragujevac Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Radnički Kragujevac 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 65%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 3,281 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Mačva Šabac vs Radnički Kragujevac 0-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Mačva Šabac vs Radnički Kragujevac. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Mačva ŠabacMačva Šabac0
Radnički KragujevacRadnički Kragujevac0

Winner

X2 71%

BTTS*

No 54%

Correct Score

1-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 61%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 71%

Full Time

129%
X30%
241%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT35%65%61%39%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT71%29%91%9%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Mačva Šabac39%61%75%25%
Radnički Kragujevac30%70%65%35%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Mačva Šabac93%7%98%2%
Radnički Kragujevac87%13%96%4%

1st Half

123%
X48%
229%

1st Score

141%
X12%
247%

Half Time/Full Time

X-X

22%

2-2

22%

1-1

15%

X-2

15%

X-1

12%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

2%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

13.8%

0-1

12.3%

0-0

11.7%

1-0

10.7%

1-2

8.4%

0-2

7.7%

2-1

6.9%

2-0

4.8%

2-2

4.2%

0-3

3.6%

1-3

3.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Radnički Kragujevac – Radnik Surdulica prediction & betting tips (Oct 23, 2026).

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