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Argentinos Juniors vs Independiente Rivadavia 1-0 Score & Prediction Review
Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Season 2026 (Round 14)
Argentinos Juniors1–0
Independiente RivadaviaOn these chances Argentinos Juniors would usually take 1.8 points and Independiente Rivadavia 0.9; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Argentinos Juniors.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Argentinos Juniors vs Independiente Rivadavia stats: how the match was played
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Argentinos Juniors had more than twice the shots on target
Argentinos Juniors
Independiente Rivadavia
6
Shots on target
3
1
Big chances
0
9
Corners
3
6
Yellow cards
3
54%
Possession
46%
Argentinos Juniors vs Independiente Rivadavia — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Liga Profesional de Fútbol
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Argentinos Juniors to win
CorrectOur track record
In 2,466 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.2%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
CorrectOur track record
In 5,708 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 5,306 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,704 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.6% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 4,281 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).
Our model’s pick
Argentinos Juniors 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,468 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).
Our model’s pick
Independiente Rivadavia 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,483 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 79.0% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Argentinos Juniors vs Independiente Rivadavia 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Argentinos Juniors vs Independiente Rivadavia. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Argentinos Juniors1
Independiente Rivadavia0Winner
1 51%
BTTS*
No 56%
Correct Score
1-0 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 71%
Argentinos Juniors1Independiente Rivadavia0Winner
1 51%
BTTS*
No 56%
Correct Score
1-0 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 71%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 34% | 66% | 59% | 41% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 71% | 29% | 90% | 10% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24% | 76% | 59% | 41% |
| 46% | 54% | 81% | 19% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 83% | 17% | 94% | 6% |
| 95% | 5% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
33%
X-1
21%
X-X
17%
2-2
9%
X-2
7%
2-X
5%
1-X
4%
2-1
3%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
1-0
15.4%
1-1
12.7%
0-0
9.9%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.4%
3-0
5.2%
3-1
4.2%
2-2
3.5%
0-2
3.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Argentinos Juniors vs Independiente Rivadavia — Recent Form
Argentinos Juniors have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 2nd in the table. Independiente Rivadavia have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 9th in the table.
Last 5 matches
Argentinos JuniorsIndependiente RivadaviaOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Independiente RivadaviaArgentinos JuniorsBoth Teams to Score
Independiente RivadaviaArgentinos JuniorsOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Independiente RivadaviaArgentinos JuniorsOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Independiente RivadaviaArgentinos JuniorsFirst Half Result
Independiente RivadaviaArgentinos JuniorsCorrect Score
Independiente RivadaviaArgentinos Juniors