1. Gimnasia La Plata vs Belgrano

Gimnasia La Plata vs Belgrano Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Season 2026 (Round 16)

Wasteful

Belgrano are scoring fewer goals than their chances (xG) usually bring

−5goals fewer than their chances (xG) in their last 10

77% of teams scoring this many fewer goals than their chances scored more in their next 10 games.

Gimnasia La Plata vs Belgrano score prediction

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.

Evenly matched in front of goal

2.2 goals in total, a little over the Liga Profesional de Fútbol average of 2.1.

goals expected

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.

Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.

How we measure →
The match Gimnasia La Plata vs Belgrano will be played on Sunday, November 8 as part of the 2026 season. This fixture will be played in the Round 16 of the Liga Profesional de Fútbol, played in Argentina. On this page, you’ll find our detailed football prediction for Gimnasia La Plata vs Belgrano, including full-time result (1X2) probabilities, draw chances, and additional betting insights. Our predictions are generated using data-driven models that analyze team form, recent performances, and historical trends to deliver reliable match forecasts.

Gimnasia La Plata vs Belgrano — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Gimnasia La Plata vs Belgrano. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

Gimnasia La PlataGimnasia La Plata–
BelgranoBelgrano–

Winner

1X 70%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 69%

Full Time

142%
X28%
230%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT32%68%58%42%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT69%31%90%10%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Gimnasia La Plata29%71%64%36%
Belgrano37%63%72%28%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Gimnasia La Plata87%13%96%4%
Belgrano91%9%98%2%

1st Half

129%
X49%
222%

1st Score

154%
X10%
237%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

22%

X-X

21%

X-1

16%

2-2

15%

X-2

12%

1-X

6%

2-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

13.3%

1-0

12.3%

0-1

9.7%

0-0

9.6%

2-1

9.1%

2-0

7.5%

1-2

7.2%

0-2

5.3%

2-2

4.4%

3-1

3.5%

3-0

3.4%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Gimnasia La Plata vs Belgrano: the stats that stand out

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

Gimnasia La Plata: leaky, always on the scoresheet and fast starters

Leaky
Gimnasia La Plata1/10

Gimnasia La Plata kept only 1 clean sheet in their last 10 (league 34%).

Always on the scoresheet
Gimnasia La Plata1/10

Gimnasia La Plata failed to score in only 1 of their last 10 (league 34%).

Fast starters
Gimnasia La Plata6/10

Gimnasia La Plata scored first in 6 of their last 10 (league 44%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

Gimnasia La Plata vs Belgrano: attack vs defence

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

other Liga Profesional de Fútbol teamsleague averagelast 10 games

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

  • Gimnasia La PlataGimnasia La Plata: good attack, weak defence (1.61 xG, 1.48 xGA a game)
  • BelgranoBelgrano: good attack, good defence (1.69 xG, 1.28 xGA)

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

Gimnasia La Plata vs Belgrano form and luck check

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Liga Profesional de Fútbol games

Both results in line with their chances

  • Gimnasia La Plata
    Gimnasia La Plata
    +1.7
  • Belgrano
    BelgranoWasteful · −5 goals
    −1.8

Last 5 matches

Gimnasia La PlataGimnasia La Plata
W
W
W
D
D
3rd in table
BelgranoBelgrano
L
L
W
W
W
5th in table
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

Strength rank: Gimnasia La Plata 16th of 30 · Belgrano 8th of 30

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

Strength rank: we rank this season's 30 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.

How we measure →

Gimnasia La Plata vs Belgrano: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Liga Profesional de Fútbol gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Both teams score in Gimnasia La Plata games more often than the Liga Profesional de Fútbol average (45%), in Belgrano games less often.

Over 2.5 goalsleague 36%
Gimnasia La Plata6 of 10
Belgrano3 of 10
BTTSleague 45%
Gimnasia La Plata8 of 10
Belgrano4 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 525 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Gimnasia La Plata vs Belgrano corners, cards and goal times

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePro
  • Corners won: league 4.4
  • Cards: league 2.5
  • Goals before half-time: league 41%
  • Goals after 75': league 25%

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Gimnasia La PlataGimnasia La Plata
1/5
BelgranoBelgrano
2/5

Both Teams to Score

Gimnasia La PlataGimnasia La Plata
2/5
BelgranoBelgrano
4/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Gimnasia La PlataGimnasia La Plata
3/5
BelgranoBelgrano
3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Gimnasia La PlataGimnasia La Plata
4/5
BelgranoBelgrano
5/5

First Half Result

Gimnasia La PlataGimnasia La Plata
2/5
BelgranoBelgrano
2/5

Correct Score

Gimnasia La PlataGimnasia La Plata
2/5
BelgranoBelgrano
0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction

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