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  4. Estudiantes vs Independiente

Estudiantes vs Independiente 0-2 Score & Prediction Review

Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Season 2026 (Round 1)

Fair result
EstudiantesEstudiantes

0–2

IndependienteIndependiente
1.5Chances (xG)1.5

On these chances Estudiantes would usually take 1.4 points and Independiente 1.4; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Estudiantes.

Estudiantes −1.4 pts vs chancesIndependiente +1.6 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Estudiantes vs Independiente stats: how the match was played

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Estudiantes

Independiente

3

Shots on target

4

3

Big chances

3

5

Corners

5

1

Yellow cards

1

58%

Possession

42%

The match between Estudiantes and Independiente ended 0-2. Our AI model predicted a Estudiantes win at 44% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Independiente – Deportivo Riestra prediction & betting tips (Nov 6, 2026).

Estudiantes vs Independiente — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Estudiantes to win

Wrong
Our model 44%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 3,611 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.7% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct
Our model 53%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 6,463 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.2% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 60%Bookmakers 71%

Our track record

In 5,299 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 80%Bookmakers 87%

Our track record

In 3,602 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.1% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 50%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 1,253 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.3% of the time (bookmakers said 51.6%).

Estudiantes Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Estudiantes 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 62%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 3,439 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.9% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).

Independiente Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Independiente 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 76%Bookmakers 83%

Our track record

In 2,563 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.4% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Estudiantes vs Independiente 0-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Estudiantes vs Independiente. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Argentina
EstudiantesEstudiantes0
IndependienteIndependiente2

Winner

1X 73%

BTTS*

No 53%

Correct Score

1-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 70%

Full Time

144%
X29%
227%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT33%67%60%40%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT70%30%90%10%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Estudiantes27%73%62%38%
Independiente40%60%76%24%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Estudiantes85%15%95%5%
Independiente93%7%98%2%

1st Half

129%
X50%
221%

1st Score

149%
X10%
240%

Half Time/Full Time

X-X

22%

1-1

21%

X-1

16%

2-2

13%

X-2

12%

2-X

6%

1-X

5%

1-2

2%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

13.7%

1-0

12.9%

0-0

10.4%

0-1

9.6%

2-1

8.8%

2-0

8.5%

1-2

6.3%

0-2

4.6%

2-2

4.1%

3-1

3.7%

3-0

3.6%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Independiente – Deportivo Riestra prediction & betting tips (Nov 6, 2026).

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