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Defensa y Justicia vs Deportivo Riestra

Defensa y Justicia vs Deportivo Riestra 2-1 Score & Prediction Review

Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Season 2026 (Round 2)

Fair result

Defensa y Justicia

2–1

Deportivo Riestra

1.5Chances (xG)1.5

On these chances Defensa y Justicia would usually take 1.4 points and Deportivo Riestra 1.4; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Defensa y Justicia.

Defensa y Justicia +1.6 pts vs chancesDeportivo Riestra −1.4 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Defensa y Justicia vs Deportivo Riestra stats: how the match was played

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Defensa y Justicia had clearly more shots on target

Defensa y Justicia

Deportivo Riestra

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

63%

Possession

37%

The match between Defensa y Justicia and Deportivo Riestra ended 2-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a Defensa y Justicia win with 44% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Talleres Córdoba – Defensa y Justicia prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Defensa y Justicia vs Deportivo Riestra — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Defensa y Justicia to win

Correct

Our model 44%Bookmakers 37%

Our track record

In 3,592 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.2% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong

Our model 61%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 2,448 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 69%Bookmakers 73%

Our track record

In 1,158 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 87%Bookmakers 88%

Our track record

In 398 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 85–90% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 87.9% of the time (bookmakers said 86.2%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

Our model 51%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 1,244 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 53.9% of the time (bookmakers said 51.7%).

Defensa y Justicia Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Defensa y Justicia 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 68%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 2,672 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Deportivo Riestra Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Deportivo Riestra 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 82%Bookmakers 80%

Our track record

In 1,497 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 78.9% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Defensa y Justicia vs Deportivo Riestra 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Defensa y Justicia vs Deportivo Riestra. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Argentina

Defensa y Justicia2

Deportivo Riestra1

Winner

1X 76%

BTTS*

No 61%

Correct Score

1-0 16%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 69%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 77%

· FT

Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Argentina

Defensa y Justicia2

Deportivo Riestra1

Winner

1X 76%

BTTS*

No 61%

Correct Score

1-0 16%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 69%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 77%

Full Time

144%

X32%

224%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	42%	58%	69%	31%	77%	23%	94%	6%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	42%	58%	69%	31%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	77%	23%	94%	6%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	32%	68%	68%	32%	90%	10%	97%	3%
	47%	53%	82%	18%	96%	4%	99%	1%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	32%	68%	68%	32%
	47%	53%	82%	18%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	90%	10%	97%	3%
	96%	4%	99%	1%

1st Half

132%

X51%

218%

1st Score

150%

X15%

235%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

24%

X-X

24%

X-1

17%

2-2

11%

X-2

10%

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-0

16.3%

0-0

14.9%

1-1

13.8%

0-1

10.8%

2-0

9.3%

2-1

7.9%

1-2

5.3%

0-2

4.2%

3-0

3.4%

2-2

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Talleres Córdoba – Defensa y Justicia prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).