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Talleres Córdoba vs Vélez Sarsfield 1-3 Score & Prediction Review
Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Season 2026 (Round 2)
Talleres Córdoba1–3
Vélez SarsfieldOn these chances Talleres Córdoba would usually take 1.5 points and Vélez Sarsfield 1.3; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Talleres Córdoba.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Talleres Córdoba vs Vélez Sarsfield stats: how the match was played
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Level on shots on target
Talleres Córdoba
Vélez Sarsfield
6
Shots on target
6
2
Big chances
4
8
Corners
5
2
Yellow cards
1
63%
Possession
38%
Talleres Córdoba vs Vélez Sarsfield — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Liga Profesional de Fútbol
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Vélez Sarsfield to win
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Talleres Córdoba to win.
Our track record
In 1,525 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.7% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.5% than to our 35–40%.
Our model’s pick
No, not both
WrongOur track record
In 5,693 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.7% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,079 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.3% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 1,709 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.4% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 1,241 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 53.9% of the time (bookmakers said 51.7%).
Our model’s pick
Talleres Córdoba 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,579 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.8% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Our model’s pick
Vélez Sarsfield 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,353 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.7% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Talleres Córdoba vs Vélez Sarsfield 1-3 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Talleres Córdoba vs Vélez Sarsfield. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Talleres Córdoba1
Vélez Sarsfield3Winner
12 70%
BTTS*
No 57%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 64%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 74%
Talleres Córdoba1Vélez Sarsfield3Winner
12 70%
BTTS*
No 57%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 64%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 74%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 37% | 63% | 64% | 36% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 74% | 26% | 93% | 7% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37% | 63% | 73% | 27% |
| 35% | 65% | 71% | 29% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 92% | 8% | 98% | 2% |
| 90% | 10% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
X-X
22%
1-1
19%
2-2
18%
X-1
14%
X-2
14%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
2%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
13.7%
0-1
12.7%
0-0
12.6%
1-0
12.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-1
7.2%
0-2
6.7%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
3.7%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score