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Unión Santa Fe vs Lanús 2-1 Score & Prediction Review
Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Season 2026 (Round 2)
Unión Santa Fe2–1
LanúsOn these chances Unión Santa Fe would usually take 1.4 points and Lanús 1.3; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Unión Santa Fe.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Unión Santa Fe vs Lanús stats: how the match was played
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Unión Santa Fe had clearly more shots on target
Unión Santa Fe
Lanús
3
Shots on target
2
0
Big chances
1
4
Corners
2
0
Yellow cards
3
41%
Possession
59%
Unión Santa Fe vs Lanús — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Liga Profesional de Fútbol
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Unión Santa Fe to win
CorrectOur track record
In 2,495 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
WrongOur track record
In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,741 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.4% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).
Our model’s pick
Unión Santa Fe 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).
Our model’s pick
Lanús 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,503 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 78.8% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Unión Santa Fe vs Lanús 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Unión Santa Fe vs Lanús. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Unión Santa Fe2
Lanús1Winner
1 53%
BTTS*
No 59%
Correct Score
1-0 16%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 72%
Unión Santa Fe2Lanús1Winner
1 53%
BTTS*
No 59%
Correct Score
1-0 16%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 72%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 36% | 64% | 61% | 39% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 72% | 28% | 91% | 9% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24% | 76% | 58% | 42% |
| 49% | 51% | 83% | 17% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 83% | 17% | 95% | 5% |
| 96% | 4% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
32%
X-1
21%
X-X
19%
2-2
8%
X-2
7%
1-X
4%
2-X
4%
2-1
3%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
1-0
15.8%
1-1
12.0%
0-0
11.5%
2-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
0-1
8.3%
3-0
5.3%
1-2
4.8%
3-1
4.5%
2-2
3.3%
0-2
3.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score