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Estudiantes vs Newell's Old Boys 0-0 Score & Prediction Review

Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Season 2026 (Round 7)

Robbed

Estudiantes drew despite more chances

EstudiantesEstudiantes

0–0

Newell's Old BoysNewell's Old Boys
2.7Chances (xG)1.0

On these chances Estudiantes would usually take 2.4 points and Newell's Old Boys 0.5; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Estudiantes.

Estudiantes −1.4 pts vs chancesNewell's Old Boys +0.5 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Estudiantes vs Newell's Old Boys stats: how the match was played

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Estudiantes had more than twice the shots on target

Estudiantes

Newell's Old Boys

8

Shots on target

2

5

Big chances

2

6

Corners

0

1

Yellow cards

1

63%

Possession

37%

The match between Estudiantes and Newell's Old Boys ended 0-0. Our AI model predicted a Estudiantes win at 60% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Estudiantes – San Lorenzo prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Estudiantes vs Newell's Old Boys — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Estudiantes to win

Wrong
Our model 60%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 1,802 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.2% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct
Our model 55%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 55%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 78%Bookmakers 81%

Our track record

In 3,681 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 48%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

Estudiantes Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Estudiantes 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 50%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 2,827 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).

Newell's Old Boys Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Newell's Old Boys 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 84%Bookmakers 85%

Our track record

In 1,503 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 78.8% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Estudiantes vs Newell's Old Boys 0-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Estudiantes vs Newell's Old Boys. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Argentina
EstudiantesEstudiantes0
Newell's Old BoysNewell's Old Boys0

Winner

1 60%

BTTS*

No 55%

Correct Score

1-0 15%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 68%

Full Time

160%
X24%
216%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT30%70%55%45%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT68%32%87%13%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Estudiantes18%82%50%50%
Newell's Old Boys51%49%83%17%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Estudiantes77%23%91%9%
Newell's Old Boys96%4%99%1%

1st Half

139%
X48%
213%

1st Score

165%
X8%
227%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

35%

X-1

23%

X-X

18%

X-2

6%

2-2

6%

1-X

4%

2-X

4%

2-1

3%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

1-0

15.1%

2-0

11.8%

1-1

11.5%

2-1

10.3%

0-0

8.4%

3-0

6.8%

0-1

6.0%

3-1

5.0%

1-2

4.4%

2-2

3.6%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Estudiantes – San Lorenzo prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

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