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  4. Aldosivi vs Banfield

Aldosivi vs Banfield 3-1 Score & Prediction Review

Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Season 2026 (Round 8)

Fair result
AldosiviAldosivi

3–1

BanfieldBanfield
2.0Chances (xG)2.0

On these chances Aldosivi would usually take 1.4 points and Banfield 1.4; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Aldosivi.

Aldosivi +1.6 pts vs chancesBanfield −1.4 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Aldosivi vs Banfield stats: how the match was played

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Aldosivi had more than twice the shots on target

Aldosivi

Banfield

9

Shots on target

3

1

Big chances

3

8

Corners

4

4

Yellow cards

4

51%

Possession

49%

The match between Aldosivi and Banfield ended 3-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a Aldosivi win with 38% confidence before kick-off. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Full-Time Result — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Estudiantes de Río Cuarto – Aldosivi prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Aldosivi vs Banfield — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Aldosivi to win

Correct
Our model 38%Bookmakers 36%

Our track record

In 2,107 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.6% of the time (bookmakers said 43.9%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong
Our model 56%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 5,722 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 63%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,118 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 82%Bookmakers 83%

Our track record

In 1,744 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.6% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 55%Bookmakers 48%

Our track record

In 1,246 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.3% of the time (bookmakers said 51.8%).

Aldosivi Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Aldosivi 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 69%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 2,705 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Banfield Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Banfield 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 73%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 3,377 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 72.1%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Aldosivi vs Banfield 3-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Aldosivi vs Banfield. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Argentina
AldosiviAldosivi3
BanfieldBanfield1

Winner

12 70%

BTTS*

No 56%

Correct Score

1-0 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 63%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 72%

Full Time

138%
X30%
232%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT37%63%63%37%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT72%28%91%9%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Aldosivi34%66%69%31%
Banfield38%62%73%27%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Aldosivi89%11%97%3%
Banfield91%9%98%2%

1st Half

125%
X55%
221%

1st Score

145%
X12%
243%

Half Time/Full Time

X-X

24%

1-1

18%

2-2

16%

X-1

15%

X-2

15%

1-X

4%

2-X

4%

1-2

2%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-0

13.1%

1-1

12.9%

0-0

12.3%

0-1

11.8%

2-1

7.6%

2-0

7.0%

1-2

6.9%

0-2

5.7%

2-2

4.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Estudiantes de Río Cuarto – Aldosivi prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

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