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  4. Tigre vs Rosario Central

Tigre vs Rosario Central 0-1 Score & Prediction Review

Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Season 2026 (Round 9)

Fair result
TigreTigre

0–1

Rosario CentralRosario Central
1.4Chances (xG)2.0

On these chances Tigre would usually take 1.0 points and Rosario Central 1.8; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Rosario Central.

Tigre −1.0 pts vs chancesRosario Central +1.3 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Tigre vs Rosario Central stats: how the match was played

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Rosario Central had more than twice the shots on target

Tigre

Rosario Central

3

Shots on target

6

3

Big chances

2

4

Corners

4

3

Yellow cards

2

0

Red cards

1

41%

Possession

59%

The match between Tigre and Rosario Central ended 0-1. Our AI model correctly predicted an Rosario Central win with 36% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Tigre – Atlético Tucumán prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Tigre vs Rosario Central — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Rosario Central to win

Correct
Our model 36%Bookmakers 38%

Our track record

In 2,116 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.6% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct
Our model 54%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 6,506 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 63%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 82%Bookmakers 86%

Our track record

In 1,741 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.4% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 54%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 1,249 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.1% of the time (bookmakers said 51.8%).

Tigre Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Tigre 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 72%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 1,588 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Rosario Central Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Rosario Central 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 70%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 3,383 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Tigre vs Rosario Central 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Tigre vs Rosario Central. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Argentina
TigreTigre0
Rosario CentralRosario Central1

Winner

12 69%

BTTS*

No 54%

Correct Score

1-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 63%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 72%

Full Time

133%
X31%
236%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT37%63%63%37%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT72%28%91%9%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Tigre36%64%72%28%
Rosario Central35%65%70%30%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Tigre91%9%97%3%
Rosario Central90%10%97%3%

1st Half

124%
X54%
222%

1st Score

147%
X13%
240%

Half Time/Full Time

X-X

26%

1-1

16%

2-2

16%

X-2

15%

X-1

13%

1-X

6%

2-X

5%

1-2

2%

2-1

1%

Correct Score

1-1

13.7%

0-0

12.6%

0-1

12.2%

1-0

11.8%

1-2

7.5%

2-1

7.1%

0-2

6.5%

2-0

6.0%

2-2

4.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Tigre – Atlético Tucumán prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

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