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  4. Banfield vs Barracas Central

Banfield vs Barracas Central 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Season 2026 (Round 9)

Fair result
BanfieldBanfield

1–1

Barracas CentralBarracas Central
0.9Chances (xG)1.7

On these chances Banfield would usually take 0.9 points and Barracas Central 1.9; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: a draw.

Banfield +0.1 pts vs chancesBarracas Central −0.9 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Banfield vs Barracas Central stats: how the match was played

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Banfield

Barracas Central

4

Shots on target

3

2

Big chances

2

1

Corners

6

1

Yellow cards

0

38%

Possession

63%

The match between Banfield and Barracas Central ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted a Banfield win at 41% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sarmiento – Barracas Central prediction & betting tips (Oct 19, 2026).

Banfield vs Barracas Central — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Banfield to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Draw.

Our model 41%Bookmakers 35%

Our track record

In 1,064 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.3% than to our 40–45%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong
Our model 55%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 5,733 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 62%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 81%Bookmakers 86%

Our track record

In 1,741 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.4% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 54%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 1,249 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.1% of the time (bookmakers said 51.8%).

Banfield Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Banfield 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 67%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 2,713 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Barracas Central Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Barracas Central 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 74%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 3,383 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Banfield vs Barracas Central 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Banfield vs Barracas Central. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Argentina
BanfieldBanfield1
Barracas CentralBarracas Central1

Winner

1X 70%

BTTS*

No 55%

Correct Score

1-0 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 62%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 71%

Full Time

141%
X29%
230%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT36%64%62%38%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT71%29%91%9%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Banfield32%68%67%33%
Barracas Central40%60%74%26%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Banfield88%12%97%3%
Barracas Central92%8%98%2%

1st Half

129%
X54%
217%

1st Score

151%
X12%
237%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

24%

X-X

22%

X-1

18%

2-2

13%

X-2

11%

1-X

4%

2-X

4%

2-1

2%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

1-0

14.0%

1-1

12.6%

0-0

12.1%

0-1

10.5%

2-1

8.1%

2-0

7.8%

1-2

6.6%

0-2

5.3%

2-2

3.9%

3-1

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sarmiento – Barracas Central prediction & betting tips (Oct 19, 2026).

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