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Belgrano vs Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 2-1 Score & Prediction Review
Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Season 2026 (Round 10)
Belgrano2–1
Estudiantes de Río CuartoOn these chances Belgrano would usually take 1.3 points and Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 1.5; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Belgrano.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Belgrano vs Estudiantes de Río Cuarto stats: how the match was played
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Level on shots on target
Belgrano
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
6
Shots on target
5
3
Big chances
3
6
Corners
5
2
Yellow cards
2
64%
Possession
37%
Belgrano vs Estudiantes de Río Cuarto — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Liga Profesional de Fútbol
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Belgrano to win
CorrectOur track record
In 2,495 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
WrongOur track record
In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,741 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.4% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Belgrano ahead at half-time.
Our track record
Too few similar matches in the last 12 months for a track record.
Our model’s pick
Belgrano 0–1 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Belgrano 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 1,027 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.1% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,503 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 78.8% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Belgrano vs Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Belgrano vs Estudiantes de Río Cuarto. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Belgrano2
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto1Winner
1 55%
BTTS*
No 57%
Correct Score
1-0 16%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 71%
Belgrano2Estudiantes de Río Cuarto1Winner
1 55%
BTTS*
No 57%
Correct Score
1-0 16%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 71%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 34% | 66% | 60% | 40% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 71% | 29% | 90% | 10% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22% | 78% | 56% | 44% |
| 49% | 51% | 83% | 17% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82% | 18% | 94% | 6% |
| 96% | 4% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
31%
X-1
22%
X-X
20%
X-2
8%
2-2
8%
1-X
4%
2-X
4%
2-1
2%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
1-0
16.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-0
11.4%
0-0
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
0-1
7.6%
3-0
5.4%
1-2
4.7%
3-1
4.4%
2-2
3.5%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Belgrano vs Estudiantes de Río Cuarto — Recent Form
Belgrano have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 3rd in the table. Estudiantes de Río Cuarto have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 15th in the table.
Last 5 matches
BelgranoEstudiantes de Río CuartoOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
BelgranoEstudiantes de Río CuartoBoth Teams to Score
BelgranoEstudiantes de Río CuartoOver/Under 2.5 Goals
BelgranoEstudiantes de Río CuartoOver/Under 3.5 Goals
BelgranoEstudiantes de Río CuartoFirst Half Result
BelgranoEstudiantes de Río CuartoCorrect Score
BelgranoEstudiantes de Río Cuarto