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  4. Barracas Central vs Independiente Rivadavia

Barracas Central vs Independiente Rivadavia 0-1 Score & Prediction Review

Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Season 2026 (Round 10)

Fair result
Barracas CentralBarracas Central

0–1

Independiente RivadaviaIndependiente Rivadavia
0.6Chances (xG)1.7

On these chances Barracas Central would usually take 0.7 points and Independiente Rivadavia 2.1; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Independiente Rivadavia.

Barracas Central −0.7 pts vs chancesIndependiente Rivadavia +0.9 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Barracas Central vs Independiente Rivadavia stats: how the match was played

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Independiente Rivadavia had more than twice the shots on target

Barracas Central

Independiente Rivadavia

2

Shots on target

7

0

Big chances

3

7

Corners

5

6

Yellow cards

1

68%

Possession

33%

The match between Barracas Central and Independiente Rivadavia ended 0-1. Our AI model correctly predicted an Independiente Rivadavia win with 44% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sarmiento – Barracas Central prediction & betting tips (Oct 19, 2026).

Barracas Central vs Independiente Rivadavia — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Independiente Rivadavia to win

Correct
Our model 44%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 3,626 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct
Our model 61%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 67%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 1,157 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 86%Bookmakers 85%

Our track record

In 399 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 85–90% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 87.7% of the time (bookmakers said 86.2%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 53%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 1,249 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.1% of the time (bookmakers said 51.8%).

Barracas Central Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Barracas Central 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 81%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 395 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.5% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).

Independiente Rivadavia Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Independiente Rivadavia 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 68%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 3,280 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Barracas Central vs Independiente Rivadavia 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Barracas Central vs Independiente Rivadavia. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Argentina
Barracas CentralBarracas Central0
Independiente RivadaviaIndependiente Rivadavia1

Winner

X2 75%

BTTS*

No 61%

Correct Score

0-1 16%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 67%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 76%

Full Time

125%
X31%
244%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT41%59%67%33%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT76%24%94%6%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Barracas Central46%54%81%19%
Independiente Rivadavia32%68%67%33%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Barracas Central95%5%99%1%
Independiente Rivadavia89%11%97%3%

1st Half

121%
X52%
226%

1st Score

140%
X15%
245%

Half Time/Full Time

X-X

23%

2-2

20%

X-2

16%

1-1

14%

X-1

12%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

2%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

0-1

15.8%

0-0

14.6%

1-1

13.1%

1-0

10.6%

0-2

8.9%

1-2

8.1%

2-1

5.6%

2-0

4.0%

0-3

3.8%

2-2

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Barracas Central vs Independiente Rivadavia — Recent Form

Independiente Rivadavia have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 7th in the table. Barracas Central have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 8th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Independiente RivadaviaIndependiente Rivadavia
D
L
D
W
W
Barracas CentralBarracas Central
W
W
L
D
D

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Independiente RivadaviaIndependiente Rivadavia
3/5
Barracas CentralBarracas Central
1/5

Both Teams to Score

Independiente RivadaviaIndependiente Rivadavia
3/5
Barracas CentralBarracas Central
3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Independiente RivadaviaIndependiente Rivadavia
2/5
Barracas CentralBarracas Central
4/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Independiente RivadaviaIndependiente Rivadavia
2/5
Barracas CentralBarracas Central
4/5

First Half Result

Independiente RivadaviaIndependiente Rivadavia
1/5
Barracas CentralBarracas Central
1/5

Correct Score

Independiente RivadaviaIndependiente Rivadavia
2/5
Barracas CentralBarracas Central
1/5
W
D
L
Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sarmiento – Barracas Central prediction & betting tips (Oct 19, 2026).

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