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Gimnasia La Plata vs Atlético Tucumán 1-1 Score & Prediction Review
Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Season 2026 (Round 12)
Gimnasia La Plata drew despite more chances
Gimnasia La Plata1–1
Atlético TucumánOn these chances Gimnasia La Plata would usually take 2.6 points and Atlético Tucumán 0.3; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Gimnasia La Plata.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Gimnasia La Plata vs Atlético Tucumán stats: how the match was played
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Gimnasia La Plata had more than twice the shots on target
Gimnasia La Plata
Atlético Tucumán
6
Shots on target
2
1
Big chances
0
10
Corners
4
2
Yellow cards
4
60%
Possession
40%
Gimnasia La Plata vs Atlético Tucumán — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Liga Profesional de Fútbol
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Gimnasia La Plata to win
WrongOur track record
In 3,629 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: No, not both.
Our track record
In 3,140 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 5,197 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 4,592 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 1,249 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.1% of the time (bookmakers said 51.8%).
Our model’s pick
Gimnasia La Plata 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,482 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).
Our model’s pick
Atlético Tucumán 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,383 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Gimnasia La Plata vs Atlético Tucumán 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Gimnasia La Plata vs Atlético Tucumán. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Gimnasia La Plata1
Atlético Tucumán1Winner
1X 72%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Gimnasia La Plata1Atlético Tucumán1Winner
1X 72%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 29% | 71% | 53% | 47% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 64% | 36% | 86% | 15% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26% | 74% | 59% | 41% |
| 38% | 62% | 72% | 28% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82% | 18% | 93% | 7% |
| 91% | 9% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
X-X
22%
1-1
21%
X-1
17%
2-2
14%
X-2
12%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
12.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.0%
0-0
8.8%
0-1
8.6%
2-0
7.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-2
4.7%
0-2
4.5%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
3.5%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Gimnasia La Plata vs Atlético Tucumán — Recent Form
Gimnasia La Plata have won 1, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 4th in the table. Atlético Tucumán have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 10th in the table.
Last 5 matches
Gimnasia La PlataAtlético TucumánOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Gimnasia La PlataAtlético TucumánBoth Teams to Score
Gimnasia La PlataAtlético TucumánOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Gimnasia La PlataAtlético TucumánOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Gimnasia La PlataAtlético TucumánFirst Half Result
Gimnasia La PlataAtlético TucumánCorrect Score
Gimnasia La PlataAtlético Tucumán