Atlético Tucumán vs Rosario Central Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Season 2026 (Round 13)

Always on the scoresheet

Rosario Central failed to score in only 1 of their last 10 (league 34%).

1/10Failed to score · Rosario Central
Bookmakers: Rosario Central 42% to winAtlético Tucumán 26%

Atlético Tucumán vs Rosario Central score prediction

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.

Evenly matched in front of goal

2.1 goals in total, in line with the Liga Profesional de Fútbol average of 2.1.

goals expected

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.

Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.

How we measure →
Get our AI football prediction and stats for Atlético Tucumán vs Rosario Central: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

Atlético Tucumán vs Rosario Central — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Rosario Central to win

Our model 46%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 3,384 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.4%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Our model 58%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 5,507 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Our model 65%Bookmakers 65%

Our track record

In 3,012 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Our model 84%Bookmakers 83%

Our track record

In 1,738 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.5% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Our model 54%Bookmakers 48%

Our track record

In 1,211 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.5% of the time (bookmakers said 51.8%).

Atlético Tucumán Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Atlético Tucumán 0–1 goals

Our model 80%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 377 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 81.2% of the time (bookmakers said 80.7%).

Rosario Central Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Rosario Central 0–1 goals

Our model 64%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 2,614 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.0% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

Atlético Tucumán vs Rosario Central — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Atlético Tucumán vs Rosario Central. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

Atlético TucumánAtlético Tucumán–
Rosario CentralRosario Central–

Winner

X2 76%

BTTS*

No 58%

Correct Score

0-1 15%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 65%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 74%

Full Time

124%
X30%
246%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT38%62%65%35%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT74%26%93%7%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Atlético Tucumán45%55%80%20%
Rosario Central29%71%64%36%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Atlético Tucumán95%5%99%1%
Rosario Central87%13%96%4%

1st Half

121%
X53%
226%

1st Score

141%
X13%
246%

Half Time/Full Time

X-X

23%

2-2

21%

X-2

18%

1-1

13%

X-1

11%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

2%

2-1

1%

Correct Score

0-1

15.2%

1-1

13.1%

0-0

12.7%

1-0

10.1%

0-2

9.5%

1-2

8.8%

2-1

5.6%

2-0

4.1%

0-3

3.8%

2-2

3.7%

1-3

3.4%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Atlético Tucumán vs Rosario Central: the stats that stand out

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

Rosario Central: always on the scoresheet and brick wall

Always on the scoresheet
Rosario Central1/10

Rosario Central failed to score in only 1 of their last 10 (league 34%).

Brick wall
Rosario Central5/10

Rosario Central kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 34%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

Atlético Tucumán vs Rosario Central: attack vs defence

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

other Liga Profesional de Fútbol teamsleague averagelast 10 games

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

  • Atlético TucumánAtlético Tucumán: weak attack, weak defence (1.05 xG, 1.44 xGA a game)
  • Rosario CentralRosario Central: good attack, good defence (1.54 xG, 1.39 xGA)

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

Atlético Tucumán vs Rosario Central form and luck check

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Liga Profesional de Fútbol games

Both results in line with their chances

  • Atlético Tucumán
    Atlético TucumánBookmakers: 26% to win today.
    −1.2
  • Rosario Central
    Rosario CentralBookmakers: 42% to win today.
    +3.3

Last 5 matches

Rosario CentralRosario Central
D
W
W
D
L
4th in table
Atlético TucumánAtlético Tucumán
D
L
L
L
W
9th in table
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

Strength rank: Atlético Tucumán 19th of 30 · Rosario Central 5th of 30

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

Strength rank: we rank this season's 30 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.

How we measure →

Atlético Tucumán vs Rosario Central: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Liga Profesional de Fútbol gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Rosario Central games go over 2.5 goals less often than the Liga Profesional de Fútbol average (36%), Atlético Tucumán games more often.

Over 2.5 goalsleague 36%
Atlético Tucumán4 of 10
Rosario Central3 of 10
BTTSleague 45%
Atlético Tucumán5 of 10
Rosario Central5 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 515 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Atlético Tucumán vs Rosario Central corners, cards and goal times

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePro · free for now

Atlético Tucumán score late

Atlético Tucumán

Rosario Central

6.0

Corners won · league 4.4

6.4

4.2

Corners conceded · league 4.4

4.8

2.1

Cards · league 2.6

2.8

2.0

Opponents' cards · league 2.6

2.9

25%

Goals before half-time · league 41%

36%

75%

Goals after 75' · league 25%

27%

10%

Conceded before half-time · league 41%

29%

30%

Conceded after 75' · league 25%

29%

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Rosario CentralRosario Central
2/5
Atlético TucumánAtlético Tucumán
1/5

Both Teams to Score

Rosario CentralRosario Central
2/5
Atlético TucumánAtlético Tucumán
2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Rosario CentralRosario Central
4/5
Atlético TucumánAtlético Tucumán
2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Rosario CentralRosario Central
5/5
Atlético TucumánAtlético Tucumán
4/5

First Half Result

Rosario CentralRosario Central
2/5
Atlético TucumánAtlético Tucumán
2/5

Correct Score

Rosario CentralRosario Central
2/5
Atlético TucumánAtlético Tucumán
1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction

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