UTA Arad vs CFR Cluj 0-1 Score & Prediction Review
Superliga - Season 2025/2026 (Round 25)
UTA Arad0–1
CFR ClujOn these chances UTA Arad would usually take 0.8 points and CFR Cluj 1.9; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: UTA Arad.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →UTA Arad vs CFR Cluj stats: how the match was played
Superliga
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
CFR Cluj had more than twice the shots on target
UTA Arad
CFR Cluj
2
Shots on target
4
0
Big chances
2
2
Corners
2
2
Yellow cards
5
54%
Possession
46%
UTA Arad vs CFR Cluj — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Superliga
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
CFR Cluj to win
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: UTA Arad to win.
Our track record
In 1,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.7% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.5% than to our 35–40%.
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: No, not both.
Our track record
In 3,090 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 5,212 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.6% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,635 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.1% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 4,188 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.7% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).
Our model’s pick
UTA Arad 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,654 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.0% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).
Our model’s pick
CFR Cluj 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,210 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 67.8%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
UTA Arad vs CFR Cluj 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for UTA Arad vs CFR Cluj. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
UTA Arad0
CFR Cluj1Winner
12 72%
BTTS*
Yes 50%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
UTA Arad0CFR Cluj1Winner
12 72%
BTTS*
Yes 50%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 31% | 69% | 57% | 43% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 67% | 33% | 89% | 11% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32% | 68% | 68% | 32% |
| 31% | 69% | 66% | 34% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88% | 12% | 97% | 3% |
| 88% | 12% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
20%
1-1
19%
X-X
18%
X-1
13%
X-2
13%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
1-2
2%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
13.5%
1-0
11.0%
0-1
10.7%
0-0
9.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
7.8%
0-2
6.5%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
3.3%
1-3
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score