1. Otelul vs CFR Cluj

Otelul vs CFR Cluj 2-1 Score & Prediction Review

Superliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 1)

Fair result
OtelulOtelul

2–1

CFR ClujCFR Cluj
2.1Chances (xG)1.2

On these chances Otelul would usually take 1.9 points and CFR Cluj 0.9; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: CFR Cluj.

Otelul +1.1 pts vs chancesCFR Cluj −0.9 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Otelul vs CFR Cluj stats: how the match was played

Superliga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Otelul had clearly more shots on target

Otelul

CFR Cluj

6

Shots on target

4

7

Big chances

0

6

Corners

4

0

Yellow cards

1

45%

Possession

55%

The match between Otelul and CFR Cluj ended 2-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a Otelul win with 40% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: UTA Arad – CFR Cluj prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Otelul vs CFR Cluj — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Superliga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Otelul to win

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: CFR Cluj to win.

Our model 40%Bookmakers 31%

Our track record

In 1,062 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.3% than to our 40–45%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 51%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 6,484 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 56%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 5,327 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 77%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 3,678 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 48%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 4,242 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.7% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

Otelul Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Otelul 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 63%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 3,467 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.8% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).

CFR Cluj Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

CFR Cluj 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 70%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 3,377 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 72.1%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Otelul vs CFR Cluj 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Otelul vs CFR Cluj. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
OtelulOtelul2
CFR ClujCFR Cluj1

Winner

1X 70%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 67%

Full Time

140%
X30%
230%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT30%70%56%44%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT67%33%88%12%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Otelul28%72%63%37%
CFR Cluj35%65%70%30%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Otelul86%14%96%4%
CFR Cluj90%10%97%3%

1st Half

126%
X48%
226%

1st Score

147%
X9%
244%

Half Time/Full Time

X-X

21%

1-1

20%

2-2

16%

X-1

15%

X-2

12%

2-X

6%

1-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

14.0%

1-0

11.1%

0-0

9.5%

0-1

9.1%

2-1

8.9%

1-2

7.1%

2-0

7.1%

0-2

5.2%

2-2

5.0%

3-1

3.5%

3-0

3.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: UTA Arad – CFR Cluj prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

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