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UTA Arad vs Otelul 2-2 Score & Prediction Review

Superliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 2)

Robbed

UTA Arad drew despite more chances

UTA AradUTA Arad

2–2

OtelulOtelul
2.2Chances (xG)0.8

On these chances UTA Arad would usually take 2.3 points and Otelul 0.5; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: UTA Arad.

UTA Arad −1.3 pts vs chancesOtelul +0.5 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

UTA Arad vs Otelul stats: how the match was played

Superliga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

UTA Arad had more than twice the shots on target

UTA Arad

Otelul

9

Shots on target

3

2

Big chances

1

7

Corners

4

2

Yellow cards

2

1

Red cards

0

57%

Possession

43%

The match between UTA Arad and Otelul ended 2-2. Our AI model predicted a UTA Arad win at 48% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. None of the key markets landed for this fixture — these matches help refine the model and improve future accuracy.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: UTA Arad – CFR Cluj prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

UTA Arad vs Otelul — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Superliga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

UTA Arad to win

Wrong
Our model 48%Bookmakers 48%

Our track record

In 3,513 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 50%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 56%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 77%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 3,681 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 46%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

UTA Arad Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

UTA Arad 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 58%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 3,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Otelul Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Otelul 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 76%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 2,600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

UTA Arad vs Otelul 2-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for UTA Arad vs Otelul. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Superliga - Romania
UTA AradUTA Arad2
OtelulOtelul2

Winner

1X 76%

BTTS*

No 50%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 67%

Full Time

148%
X28%
224%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT30%70%56%44%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT67%33%87%13%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
UTA Arad25%75%58%42%
Otelul41%59%76%24%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
UTA Arad82%18%94%6%
Otelul93%7%98%2%

1st Half

132%
X46%
222%

1st Score

154%
X10%
236%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

26%

X-X

20%

X-1

17%

2-2

13%

X-2

9%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

1-1

12.9%

1-0

12.7%

0-0

9.9%

2-1

9.6%

2-0

8.7%

0-1

7.6%

1-2

5.8%

2-2

4.5%

3-1

4.2%

0-2

4.0%

3-0

3.9%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: UTA Arad – CFR Cluj prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

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